PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Demelcio

0x5d2d0d78421d918347e4643094d96afcd33a61b2

Realised P&L
$-304.41
Volume
$10.4k
Markets traded
165
Open portfolio
$42.87

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded165
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration9.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration35.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Elche CF: O/U 2.5 · Over0.5300.535$15.14+$0.14
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-09-18? · Yes0.5300.535$10.09+$0.09
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? · Yes0.1960.115$5.86$4.14
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.3620.235$3.90$2.10
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.1500.125$3.16$0.63
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? · Yes0.3100.080$2.56$7.44
OpenAI IPO before 2027? · Yes0.1840.040$2.15$7.85
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET · Down0.2000.000$0.00$5.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET · Down0.1420.000$0.00$7.00
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05? · Yes0.5400.000$0.00$20.00
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.3550.000$0.00$20.00
France vs. Spain: Team to Advance · France0.6000.000$0.00$10.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 7, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET · Up0.6800.000$0.00$5.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 7, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET · Up0.3800.000$0.00$5.00
Ethereum Up or Down - August 26, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET · Down0.2700.000$0.00$5.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 21:03RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Elche CF: O/U 2.5BUY0.5299999868$10.00
09-17 21:02Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-09-18?BUY0.5299999868$10.00
09-17 21:00RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Elche CF: O/U 2.5BUY0.5299999587$5.00
08-28 07:51Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.1499999703$3.79
08-27 13:11Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 9:00AM-9:15AM ETBUY0.2$5.00
08-27 06:24Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?SELL0.1$3.33
08-26 21:31Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?SELL0.22$3.14
08-26 21:29Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31?SELL0.1035004201$7.39
08-26 21:28Lille OSC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: Both Teams to ScoreBUY0.559999991$2.50
08-26 21:27Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-08-28?BUY0.5699999555$5.00
08-26 21:25Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-08-29?BUY0.4699999702$3.00
08-26 21:24Will AFC Bournemouth vs. Everton FC end in a draw?BUY0.2799999515$3.00
08-26 21:23Arsenal FC vs. Chelsea FC: Both Teams to ScoreBUY0.5632410707$5.00
08-26 21:22Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-09-06?BUY0.179999928$2.00
08-26 21:22Will Arsenal FC vs. Chelsea FC end in a draw?BUY0.259999948$3.00