Demelcio
0x5d2d0d78421d918347e4643094d96afcd33a61b2
- Realised P&L
- $-192.53
- Volume
- $5.9k
- Markets traded
- 93
- Open portfolio
- $94.69
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded93
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration26.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration21.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$40.93at 0.556Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$23.33at 0.300Will Belgium vs. Senegal end in a draw?
- +$21.30at 0.540Zelenskyy meets with Netanyahu by Thursday?
- +$12.17at 0.450England vs. Argentina: Team to Advance
- +$10.53at 0.190Will Japan win on 2026-06-29?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 21:41 | Will Trump meet with Volodymyr Zelenskyy in August 2026? | SELL | 0.1110429704 | $10.65 |
| 08-02 21:40 | Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.5499999931 | $20.00 |
| 08-02 09:15 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | BUY | 0.3099999836 | $10.00 |
| 08-02 09:14 | Anthropic IPO before 2027? | BUY | 0.6899999869 | $10.00 |
| 08-02 08:29 | Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? | BUY | 0.5299999883 | $20.00 |
| 08-02 08:17 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.4 | $20.00 |
| 08-01 21:51 | Will Trump meet with Joseph Aoun in August 2026? | BUY | 0.0695147747 | $5.00 |
| 08-01 21:51 | Will Trump meet with Volodymyr Zelenskyy in August 2026? | BUY | 0.1042897779 | $10.00 |
| 08-01 09:23 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | SELL | 0.26 | $6.50 |
| 08-01 09:23 | Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | SELL | 0.037 | $3.49 |
| 08-01 09:21 | Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | SELL | 0.08 | $1.50 |
| 08-01 09:21 | US-Saudi nuclear deal enters into force in 2026? | SELL | 0.2 | $8.00 |
| 08-01 09:18 | Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.031 | $3.69 |
| 08-01 09:16 | Will Bayern Munich win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | SELL | 0.13 | $4.64 |
| 08-01 09:16 | Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.048 | $9.41 |