PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

Demelcio

0x5d2d0d78421d918347e4643094d96afcd33a61b2

Realised P&L
$-192.53
Volume
$5.9k
Markets traded
93
Open portfolio
$94.69

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded93
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration26.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration21.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? · Yes0.4000.415$20.75+$0.75
Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.5500.570$20.72+$0.72
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? · Yes0.5300.535$20.19+$0.19
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? · Yes0.3100.305$9.84$0.16
Anthropic IPO before 2027? · Yes0.6900.675$9.78$0.22
OpenAI IPO before 2027? · Yes0.2000.185$4.63$0.38
Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? · Yes0.4400.145$3.62$7.38
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.3620.213$3.54$2.46
Will Trump meet with Joseph Aoun in August 2026? · Yes0.0700.022$1.62$3.38
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05? · Yes0.5400.000$0.00$20.00
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.3550.000$0.00$20.00
France vs. Spain: Team to Advance · France0.6000.000$0.00$10.00
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.6330.000$0.00$10.00
Will France win on 2026-07-14? · Yes0.3900.000$0.00$10.02
Will Canada win on 2026-07-04? · Yes0.2300.000$0.00$5.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 21:41Will Trump meet with Volodymyr Zelenskyy in August 2026?SELL0.1110429704$10.65
08-02 21:40Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 30, 2026?BUY0.5499999931$20.00
08-02 09:15Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?BUY0.3099999836$10.00
08-02 09:14Anthropic IPO before 2027?BUY0.6899999869$10.00
08-02 08:29Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?BUY0.5299999883$20.00
08-02 08:17Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.4$20.00
08-01 21:51Will Trump meet with Joseph Aoun in August 2026?BUY0.0695147747$5.00
08-01 21:51Will Trump meet with Volodymyr Zelenskyy in August 2026?BUY0.1042897779$10.00
08-01 09:23Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?SELL0.26$6.50
08-01 09:23Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?SELL0.037$3.49
08-01 09:21Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?SELL0.08$1.50
08-01 09:21US-Saudi nuclear deal enters into force in 2026?SELL0.2$8.00
08-01 09:18Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?SELL0.031$3.69
08-01 09:16Will Bayern Munich win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?SELL0.13$4.64
08-01 09:16Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.048$9.41