PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0xe617861a96631d7cefdb1ad43e95c33b5946f251

Realised P&L
$-48.4k
Volume
$7.15M
Markets traded
1,593
Open portfolio
$9.6k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,593
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
CautionProfit concentration30.3% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration31.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on July 31? · Up0.9791.000$3.1k+$64.76
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July? · No0.9321.000$2.7k+$180.98
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July? · No0.9691.000$2.6k+$79.08
Will USD/JPY hit 165 (High) in 2026? · Yes0.6770.445$328.39$171.61
Will Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) beat quarterly earnings? · Yes0.9010.925$205.22+$5.22
Will Donald Trump visit Russia in 2026? · No0.8100.944$116.54+$16.54
Fed emergency rate cut before 2027? · No0.8330.940$112.91+$12.91
Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures? · Yes0.1200.081$67.43$32.57
China coup attempt before 2027? · No0.9390.970$30.98+$0.98
Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026? · No0.9400.964$30.77+$0.77
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · Yes0.1790.055$30.65$69.35
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? · No0.7500.900$30.00+$5.00
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? · No0.9400.915$29.20$0.80
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House · No0.8300.875$21.08+$1.08
Will the Democratic Party win the NY-13 House seat? · Yes0.9100.957$21.03+$1.03

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-31 11:01S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on July 31?BUY0.9788702773$3.0k
07-30 17:11Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?BUY0.9688552698$2.5k
07-30 17:04S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 30?BUY0.9980553937$3.0k
07-30 17:03Will SpaceX (SPCX) close above $120 end of July?SELL0.100889429$281.42
07-29 15:01Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in July?SELL0.4269087982$1.3k
07-23 15:23Will Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) beat quarterly earnings?BUY0.9014863626$200.00
07-23 15:19WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $89 on July 23?BUY0.9888791984$1000.00
07-23 14:03Bitcoin Up or Down on July 23?BUY0.987991113$2.0k
07-23 12:52Bitcoin Up or Down on July 23?BUY0.9399999996$2.5k
07-22 15:59Will Bitcoin reach $68,000 on July 22?BUY0.9824487134$2.0k
07-21 16:14Will SpaceX (SPCX) close above $120 end of July?BUY0.7169918208$2.0k
07-21 09:34S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 21?BUY0.8530799011$2.0k
07-21 09:31S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 21?BUY0.8496211292$3.0k
07-20 13:57Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on July 20?BUY0.9960418077$2.0k
07-20 11:36Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 20?BUY0.9879078995$2.5k