0xe617861a96631d7cefdb1ad43e95c33b5946f251
- Realised P&L
- $-40.3k
- Volume
- $7.32M
- Markets traded
- 1,622
- Open portfolio
- $79.7k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,622
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration36.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration67.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$8.2kat 0.775Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
- +$7.4kat 0.862S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 4?
- +$6.9kat 0.922Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?
- +$5.7kat 0.084Exact Score: England 1 - 2 Argentina?
- +$5.0kat 0.853Will another country strike Iran by March 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 23:26 | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 17? | BUY | 0.6299999999 | $2.5k |
| 09-14 03:49 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.8 | $10.0k |
| 09-14 01:51 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.8 | $15.0k |
| 09-10 11:53 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 10? | BUY | 0.4983078793 | $1.5k |
| 09-09 12:50 | Will Bitcoin dip to $77,000 on September 9? | BUY | 0.936588059 | $1000.00 |
| 09-09 12:49 | Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 September 7-13? | BUY | 0.9061127761 | $1000.00 |
| 09-09 12:48 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 9? | BUY | 0.9653026826 | $2.0k |
| 09-09 12:47 | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 9? | BUY | 0.8966574692 | $2.5k |
| 09-09 12:40 | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 9? | BUY | 0.8354826043 | $2.5k |
| 09-09 07:33 | Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in September? | BUY | 0.9259720217 | $2.0k |
| 09-09 07:32 | Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in September? | BUY | 0.9242695288 | $3.0k |
| 09-08 15:54 | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 8? | SELL | 0.279 | $993.80 |
| 09-08 09:08 | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 8? | BUY | 0.2940772834 | $500.00 |
| 09-08 03:32 | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 8? | BUY | 0.5371156885 | $1000.00 |
| 09-08 01:06 | Will Bitcoin reach $81,000 on September 7? | BUY | 0.9886241764 | $500.00 |