PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xe617861a96631d7cefdb1ad43e95c33b5946f251

Realised P&L
$-40.3k
Volume
$7.32M
Markets traded
1,622
Open portfolio
$79.7k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,622
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
CautionProfit concentration36.7% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration67.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · Yes0.8900.951$53.4k+$3.4k
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.8900.905$5.1k+$84.28
Bitcoin Up or Down on September 17? · Up0.6301.000$4.0k+$1.5k
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in September? · Yes0.9250.710$3.8k$1.2k
Fed emergency rate cut before 2027? · No0.9320.973$3.8k+$154.48
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in September? · No0.8350.895$3.2k+$215.82
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.8370.835$3.0k$8.31
Will Bitcoin dip to $67,500 in September? · No0.8690.955$2.2k+$198.49
Will the Bank of Japan announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting? · Yes0.9591.000$521.19+$21.19
Will USD/JPY hit 165 (High) in 2026? · Yes0.6770.225$166.04$333.96
Will Donald Trump visit Russia in 2026? · No0.8100.917$113.21+$13.21
Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures? · Yes0.1200.043$35.79$64.21
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? · No0.7500.925$30.83+$5.83
Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026? · No0.9400.966$30.81+$0.81
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? · No0.9400.955$30.48+$0.48

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-16 23:26Bitcoin Up or Down on September 17?BUY0.6299999999$2.5k
09-14 03:49Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.8$10.0k
09-14 01:51Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.8$15.0k
09-10 11:53Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 10?BUY0.4983078793$1.5k
09-09 12:50Will Bitcoin dip to $77,000 on September 9?BUY0.936588059$1000.00
09-09 12:49Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 September 7-13?BUY0.9061127761$1000.00
09-09 12:48Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 9?BUY0.9653026826$2.0k
09-09 12:47Bitcoin Up or Down on September 9?BUY0.8966574692$2.5k
09-09 12:40Bitcoin Up or Down on September 9?BUY0.8354826043$2.5k
09-09 07:33Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in September?BUY0.9259720217$2.0k
09-09 07:32Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in September?BUY0.9242695288$3.0k
09-08 15:54Bitcoin Up or Down on September 8?SELL0.279$993.80
09-08 09:08Bitcoin Up or Down on September 8?BUY0.2940772834$500.00
09-08 03:32Bitcoin Up or Down on September 8?BUY0.5371156885$1000.00
09-08 01:06Will Bitcoin reach $81,000 on September 7?BUY0.9886241764$500.00