joy2theworld
0xc757635b67bd79745a73ed69e98b5f1e54323619
- Realised P&L
- $17.7k
- Volume
- $820.2k
- Markets traded
- 74
- Open portfolio
- $18.7k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.2%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded74
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration20.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration76.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · Yes | 0.942 | 0.948 | $14.2k | +$89.13 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House · No | 0.863 | 0.895 | $4.5k | +$160.29 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.7kat 0.397Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2024 meeting?
- +$3.5kat 0.861No change in Fed interest rates after May 2025 meeting?
- +$1.4kat 0.825Will the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2025 World Series?
- +$1.2kat 0.953No change in Fed interest rates after June 2025 meeting?
- +$1.0kat 0.902Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 in December?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-11 23:06 | Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.942058556 | $14.1k |
| 09-11 20:16 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.82 | $1.1k |
| 09-11 12:47 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.79 | $790.00 |
| 08-28 14:47 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.44 | $2.7k |
| 08-16 16:24 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.25 | $250.00 |
| 07-31 20:16 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.57 | $3.0k |
| 07-28 22:26 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.7499273182 | $1.6k |
| 07-14 12:41 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.91 | $422.19 |
| 07-13 22:13 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.63 | $630.00 |
| 07-12 15:09 | Will Lionel Messi score 12+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.938 | $630.66 |
| 07-12 14:57 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.8 | $800.00 |
| 07-08 22:26 | 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | BUY | 0.8629413 | $4.3k |
| 07-08 22:11 | Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.941 | $1.9k |
| 04-03 12:44 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.9818425696 | $29.3k |
| 03-24 21:55 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.947 | $4.7k |