Will Moonshot be the third-best AI lab at the end of November 2026?

Tick: 0.001
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends: 2026-12-01
Resolves by: https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.025. down 0.027 over the period, from 0.052. Range 0.025 to 0.053. 158 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.038	50	50
0.092	1	51
0.189	70	121
0.190	20	142
0.370	95	237
0.371	30	267
0.507	30	297
0.738	117	414
0.740	40	454
0.982	500	954
0.983	88	1,042
0.984	500	1,542

Spread0.026Mid0.025

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.012	100	100
0.011	300	400
0.010	5	405
0.005	285	690
0.004	1,200	1,890
0.003	5	1,895
0.002	2,200	4,095
0.001	315	4,410

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.988	100	100
0.989	300	400
0.990	5	405
0.995	285	690
0.996	1,200	1,890
0.997	5	1,895
0.998	2,200	4,095
0.999	315	4,410

Spread0.026Mid0.975

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.962	50	50
0.908	1	51
0.811	70	121
0.810	20	142
0.630	95	237
0.629	30	267
0.493	30	297
0.262	117	414
0.260	40	454
0.018	500	954
0.017	88	1,042
0.016	500	1,542

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
11B7c7e5D961	Yes	102.87
AJSV	Yes	48.17
PPMT	Yes	30
0xEDed669627606d70ebC7CdF9eE49A8d239eeA668-1773393311775	Yes	21.96
Lucerys	Yes	20
youtube-trader	Yes	14.3
godblessme2026	Yes	1.88
Numitus1994	Yes	1.23
0xa5ef…2966	No	240.4

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
21:45:22	SELL	Yes	0.012	19	$0.23
20:44:31	BUY	No	0.988	33	$32.92
20:44:31	BUY	No	0.986	40	$39.44
20:44:31	BUY	No	0.988	6	$5.86
20:44:31	BUY	No	0.987786104	27	$27.15
20:44:31	BUY	No	0.986	2	$2.03
20:21:09	BUY	No	0.986	5	$4.93
18:18:03	BUY	Yes	0.0919999989	11	$1.01
18:11:22	BUY	Yes	0.0919999989	11	$1.01
13:48:33	BUY	No	0.979	9	$8.81
13:48:33	BUY	No	0.979	10	$9.79
05:19:07	SELL	Yes	0.071	14	$1.02
05:19:04	BUY	No	0.929	10	$9.57
05:19:04	BUY	No	0.929	10	$9.29
11:04:42	BUY	No	0.98	9	$8.82
07:30:39	BUY	No	0.97	8	$7.94
06:55:55	BUY	No	0.96	4	$3.99
06:55:55	BUY	No	0.96	13	$12.01
06:51:01	BUY	No	0.96	13	$12.00