PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xEDed669627606d70ebC7CdF9eE49A8d239eeA668-1773393311775

0xeded669627606d70ebc7cdf9ee49a8d239eea668

Realised P&L
$-44.02
Volume
$2.3k
Markets traded
82
Open portfolio
$11.31

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded82
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration19.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)36.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration18.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Democratic Party win the MN-08 House seat? · Yes0.1200.125$2.08+$0.08
Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026? · No0.3400.345$1.01+$0.01
Will there be exactly 7 UK parliamentary by-elections in 2026? · No0.6300.610$0.98−$0.03
Will Georgia have more than 11.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season? · Yes0.4200.405$0.97−$0.04
Next Z.ai GLM (5.4+) released by October 31, 2026? · Yes0.7200.625$0.94−$0.14
Fight to Go the Distance? · Yes0.4000.360$0.90−$0.10
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OH-14 House election by 25%-30%? · Yes0.1390.054$0.78−$1.24
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31? · Yes0.4500.075$0.75−$3.75
Will Perplexity not IPO by December 31, 2027? · No0.5600.355$0.64−$0.37
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Michigan be between 5,000,000 and 5,200,000? · Yes0.2110.132$0.62−$0.38
Will Rare Atom qualify to PGL Major Singapore 2026? · Yes0.1060.061$0.58−$0.42
Will Moonshot be the third-best AI lab at the end of November 2026? · Yes0.0920.025$0.55−$1.47
Will the Utah Mammoth record 100+ points? · No0.5100.250$0.50−$0.52
Spread: Sabah FK (-3.5) · Sabah FK0.0310.000$0.00−$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-13 18:15Will Georgia have more than 11.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?BUY0.4199999834$1.01
10-13 18:15Fight to Go the Distance?BUY0.4$1.00
10-13 17:59Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Michigan be between 5,000,000 and 5,200,000?BUY0.2109999774$1.00
10-13 17:59Will the Utah Mammoth record 100+ points?BUY0.51$1.02
10-13 14:44Will there be exactly 7 UK parliamentary by-elections in 2026?BUY0.6299998441$1.01
10-13 14:44Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026?BUY0.3399999388$1.00
10-13 14:44Maduro guilty of all counts?SELL0.59$0.89
10-13 14:43Iran leadership change by December 31?SELL0.88$1.58
10-13 14:43Will The Super Mario Galaxy Movie be the top grossing movie of 2026?SELL0.999$3.00
10-11 18:18Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OH-14 House election by 25%-30%?BUY0.1389999818$1.01
10-11 18:18Will the Democratic Party win the MN-08 House seat?BUY0.1199999904$1.00
10-11 18:18Will Moonshot be the third-best AI lab at the end of November 2026?BUY0.0919999989$1.01
10-11 18:11Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OH-14 House election by 25%-30%?BUY0.1389999818$1.01
10-11 18:11Will the Democratic Party win the MN-08 House seat?BUY0.1199999904$1.00
10-11 18:11Will Moonshot be the third-best AI lab at the end of November 2026?BUY0.0919999989$1.01