PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Sign in

Will Microsoft AI have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of September 2026?

Tick
0.001
Min order
5
Fees
0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends
2026-09-30
Resolves by
https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text-to-image

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.013. down 0.061 over the period, from 0.073. Range 0.013 to 0.129. 169 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.0238989
0.025594
0.027599
0.27475174
0.275135309
0.281133442
0.89311454
0.894100554
0.896400954
0.8972401,194
0.950101,204
0.998821,286

Spread0.021Mid0.013

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.002110110
0.001505615

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.998110110
0.999505615

Spread0.021Mid0.988

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.9778989
0.975594
0.973599
0.72675174
0.725135309
0.719133442
0.10711454
0.106100554
0.104400954
0.1032401,194
0.050101,204
0.002821,286

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
LornaPredictsYes119.58
Numitus1994Yes89.28
mustbethewaterYes69.78
AJSVYes28
VonVonaghYes25
pushthatthingYes10
Mojito9Yes10
Hugin-og-MuninYes5
HaradwaithYes3
0xa5ef…2966No339.5
0xfBd8C9C22cA76B3662d0e53A4f79719FDC684027-1779347618060No14
daniel122134No6.14

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
11:42:41BUYNo0.99810$9.98
11:18:17BUYNo0.99814$13.97
11:17:42SELLYes0.0025$0.01
11:17:32BUYNo0.99810$9.98
11:17:27BUYNo0.99850$49.91
11:16:42BUYNo0.99297213439$38.93
11:16:17SELLYes0.0110$0.10
11:16:11BUYNo0.9910$9.90
11:16:09BUYNo0.9910$9.90
18:30:00BUYNo0.978520$19.57
16:12:00BUYNo0.9910$9.90
01:43:24BUYNo0.9915$14.85
01:43:22BUYNo0.995$4.95
01:42:36BUYNo0.9911$10.89
14:43:57SELLYes0.0120$0.20
11:51:15BUYNo0.8620$17.20
22:27:19BUYNo0.979$8.73
01:03:10BUYNo0.936$5.71
01:03:10BUYNo0.937$6.04
01:03:09BUYNo0.936$5.58
00:33:24BUYNo0.9218$16.56