Will Grok 5 be released by December 31, 2026?

Sign in to set an alert on this market.

Tick: 0.01
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends: 2026-12-31
Rewards: 20 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.54. down 0.13 over the period, from 0.67. Range 0.44 to 0.80. 169 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.72	54	54
0.73	13	67
0.81	5	72
0.88	3	75
0.90	10	85
0.91	7	92
0.92	13	104
0.93	20	124
0.94	129	253
0.95	171	424
0.96	25	449
0.98	17	465

Spread0.36Mid0.54

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.36	75	75
0.35	8	83
0.25	50	133
0.24	150	283
0.18	20	303
0.14	20	323
0.09	5	328
0.04	21	348
0.03	28	376
0.02	6	382
0.01	110,056	110,438

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.64	75	75
0.65	8	83
0.75	50	133
0.76	150	283
0.82	20	303
0.86	20	323
0.91	5	328
0.96	21	348
0.97	28	376
0.98	6	382
0.99	110,056	110,438

Spread0.36Mid0.46

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.28	54	54
0.27	13	67
0.19	5	72
0.12	3	75
0.10	10	85
0.09	7	92
0.08	13	104
0.07	20	124
0.06	129	253
0.05	171	424
0.04	25	449
0.02	17	465

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
JHJH	Yes	150.98
yoyobb2018	Yes	100
rb50	Yes	85.77
pootytherewardfarmer	Yes	44
wallet-account-test	Yes	40
NoTeacher	Yes	21
jk30	Yes	20
pppnn	Yes	20
Banditoes	Yes	12.86
xcaiox	Yes	12.66
jdkfbsbdskjbfjksq	Yes	7.49
0xE2d52a1be0ebe19B032B609359f1EEA280d87360-1771301749756	Yes	5.68
0x3DeB10Ca4Bb3B9ba0Eb97b4E7fC1590A2C2eb9C9-1779202066093	Yes	5.39
0xed2d…2748	Yes	4
vino1234	No	422.52
AJSV	No	91.05
LornaPredicts	No	10
qqqppp-l1	No	5.68

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
19:26:56	BUY	Yes	0.53	40	$21.20
17:47:42	BUY	No	0.2740546156	270	$73.86
20:40:06	BUY	Yes	0.72	86	$61.75
22:38:24	BUY	Yes	0.589999912	10	$5.70
14:24:30	BUY	Yes	0.6999999814	5	$3.77
13:56:27	SELL	Yes	0.575582565	60	$34.33
16:07:20	SELL	Yes	0.56345	20	$11.27
16:07:09	SELL	Yes	0.57	20	$11.40
11:25:42	BUY	No	0.3265130719	153	$49.96
07:10:34	BUY	Yes	0.8799999859	6	$5.00
12:04:52	BUY	Yes	0.76	151	$114.74
23:10:25	BUY	Yes	0.75	4	$3.00
08:39:04	SELL	No	0.25	101	$25.25
08:39:04	BUY	Yes	0.75	51	$38.25
23:15:19	BUY	Yes	0.7899999866	13	$10.00
21:19:25	SELL	No	0.4	10	$4.00
21:19:13	SELL	No	0.4	10	$4.00
21:17:52	BUY	No	0.24	121	$29.04
20:27:23	BUY	Yes	0.8	21	$16.80
01:51:05	SELL	Yes	0.3	13	$3.86
00:03:04	SELL	Yes	0.55	7	$3.93
00:02:53	SELL	No	0.1335628743	20	$2.68
00:02:50	BUY	Yes	0.2399999701	20	$4.81