PolyBot

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Will GitHub's longest critical incident in October 2026 be less than 1 hour?

Tick
0.01
Min order
5
Fees
0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends
2026-11-01
Resolves by
https://www.githubstatus.com/
Rewards
20 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.15. up 0.08 over the period, from 0.07. Range 0.07 to 0.39. 102 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.16373373
0.17110483
0.18110593
0.1963656
0.27140796
0.30135931
0.3140971
0.481001,071
0.49501,121
0.52351,156
0.73501,206
0.74801,286

Spread0.01Mid0.15

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.15370370
0.14297667
0.1368735
0.038743
0.02173916
0.0128944

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.85370370
0.86297667
0.8768735
0.978743
0.98173916
0.9928944

Spread0.01Mid0.84

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.84373373
0.83110483
0.82110593
0.8163656
0.73140796
0.70135931
0.6940971
0.521001,071
0.51501,121
0.48351,156
0.27501,206
0.26801,286

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
AJSVYes93.13
tradetosurvive1Yes78
Tallguy2527Yes40
GuyFromTinderYes30
Numitus1994Yes22
youtube-traderYes20
0x3a9d…f332Yes20
HosoTraderYes20
1x6891589732cf8beaaf424b117d5c5c20919f6bb9Yes20
pootytherewardfarmerYes18.88
CarabaoYes5
FinalDestYes5
BigsomethingNo346.99
0xa5ef…2966No25

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
09:41:31SELLYes0.1521$3.15
23:53:47SELLYes0.142$0.28
21:28:25BUYYes0.1620$3.20
21:09:56SELLYes0.132$0.26
21:09:52SELLYes0.142$0.28
15:20:47SELLYes0.122$0.24
15:16:41BUYNo0.8920$17.80
15:16:36SELLYes0.1122$2.42
15:10:12SELLYes0.1120$2.20
14:07:29SELLYes0.1120$2.20
13:19:05BUYNo0.8916$14.24
13:19:05SELLYes0.1236$4.32
13:11:35BUYYes0.174444444436$6.28
13:10:09BUYNo0.82$1.60
13:10:03BUYNo0.74347$256.77
13:10:03BUYNo0.7737540$30.95
13:10:03BUYNo0.749430432920$15.00
12:46:54SELLYes0.265$1.30
11:36:23BUYNo0.665$3.30
12:14:21BUYNo0.720$14.00
11:21:42BUYNo0.6420$12.80
10:52:54BUYNo0.755$3.75
10:48:08BUYYes0.3120$6.20
10:42:57BUYYes0.2340$9.20
00:53:57SELLYes0.1420$2.80