PolyBot

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Will Donald Trump publicly insult Gavin Newsom by October 31, 2026?

Tick
0.01
Min order
5
Fees
0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends
2026-10-31
Rewards
20 min size · 6.5¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.44. down 0.32 over the period, from 0.76. Range 0.23 to 0.86. 170 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.4555
0.474045
0.484388
0.58694
0.658102
0.8610112
0.8710122
0.8817140
0.9510150
0.976156
0.9855210
0.9971281

Spread0.02Mid0.44

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.431515
0.414156
0.382177
0.3728104
0.2830135
0.2021156
0.087162
0.0715177
0.069186
0.056192
0.0410202
0.0345247

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.571515
0.594156
0.622177
0.6328104
0.7230135
0.8021156
0.927162
0.9315177
0.949186
0.956192
0.9610202
0.9745247

Spread0.02Mid0.56

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.5555
0.534045
0.524388
0.42694
0.358102
0.1410112
0.1310122
0.1217140
0.0510150
0.036156
0.0255210
0.0171281

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
BAO95889Yes57.01
GuyFromTinderYes54.88
pootytherewardfarmerYes26.41
cacatoYes20
UpTheStairsYes13
AJSVNo59.95
CrazykekbrNo27.98
0x36dAfd0ed99D902F8bDfe9e090ecDc48b053907B-1762688421136No20
gfdgfvfvssddNo20
0xbb90…2335No15
tradetosurvive1No13.75
WartlockNo6.25
chakkuduNo5
Numitus1994No3.76

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
07:29:45SELLNo0.645$3.21
07:28:18BUYYes0.3720$7.40
07:02:17BUYYes0.4420$8.80
06:40:30BUYYes0.3715$5.55
05:25:38BUYYes0.357492582820$7.20
05:12:23SELLYes0.530$0.01
05:12:21SELLYes0.545995194225$13.63
05:11:45SELLYes0.565$2.81
05:09:03BUYYes0.4845$21.66
05:08:45BUYNo0.535$2.67
05:03:35BUYYes0.4520$9.00
04:43:27BUYYes0.45$2.01
04:42:53BUYYes0.4120$8.20
04:03:06BUYYes0.4510$4.50
04:00:57SELLNo0.5515$8.24
03:58:51SELLNo0.625$3.11
03:57:56BUYYes0.3820$7.60
02:55:12SELLYes0.4812$5.58
02:48:14SELLNo0.123$0.33
02:48:14SELLNo0.438$3.59
02:48:02SELLNo0.5253901822115$60.26
02:29:15BUYYes0.3621$7.56
02:27:08SELLYes0.481$0.55
02:27:06SELLYes0.4640$18.40
01:40:51BUYNo0.585$2.96