PolyBot

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Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by October 31, 2026?

Tick
0.001
Min order
5
Fees
0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends
2026-10-31
Rewards
20 min size · 6.5¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.152. up 0.013 over the period, from 0.139. Range 0.129 to 0.152. 151 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.2682020
0.4992040
0.9813878
0.98250128
0.99725153
0.99843196
0.99963258

Spread0.231Mid0.152

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.0372020
0.034828
0.0332048
0.00570118
0.00492210
0.00354264
0.002215479
0.00164543

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.9632020
0.966828
0.9672048
0.99570118
0.99692210
0.99754264
0.998215479
0.99964543

Spread0.231Mid0.847

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.7322020
0.5012040
0.0193878
0.01850128
0.00325153
0.00243196
0.00163258

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
pootytherewardfarmerYes21.2
youtube-traderYes20
redstar1987Yes20
GuyFromTinderYes19.23
ZnakkYes15.04
jalaguierYes15
0xe76d…d801Yes5.2
jardin93Yes3.92
Numitus1994Yes1.11
tradetosurvive1No35
WeJustBettinNo33.44
0x5F3ee9c40Be255D1C18cA38bf4Ab94b564C75337-1776862065527No21
0x36dAfd0ed99D902F8bDfe9e090ecDc48b053907B-1762688421136No19.99
hgr1No5.41
UpTheStairsNo5.2
hspje89No1.11

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
16:13:41BUYYes0.25515$3.84
11:12:18SELLNo0.7451$0.77
06:21:50BUYYes0.25499997584$1.00
17:40:55BUYYes0.255$1.30
13:25:48BUYYes0.1820$3.60
00:13:22BUYYes0.1415$2.10
16:58:40BUYNo0.91$1.00
15:21:14SELLNo0.8941$0.92
19:21:50BUYNo0.896999998433$30.00
09:46:53SELLNo0.8618$15.48
09:45:44BUYNo0.921$18.90
09:44:20SELLNo0.911$9.90
09:43:59BUYYes0.075261650$3.76
09:43:05SELLNo0.92421$19.19
09:43:03SELLNo0.92550$46.25
09:42:56BUYYes0.07420$1.48
09:42:56SELLNo0.926126$116.46
02:01:02SELLNo0.910$9.00
01:58:21SELLNo0.90140$36.04
01:56:17BUYYes0.06520$1.30
01:56:17SELLNo0.950165474584$79.70
01:09:41SELLNo0.9752$50.00
01:06:35SELLYes0.0220$0.40
01:05:59SELLYes0.038$0.25
01:05:56BUYNo0.941470550521$19.80