0xe76d5e9c4a23fc458d1955eb9a31c39a443ed801
0xe76d5e9c4a23fc458d1955eb9a31c39a443ed801
- Realised P&L
- $-7.46
- Volume
- $73.86
- Markets traded
- 10
- Open portfolio
- $4.32
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-10.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded10
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration58.4% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration34.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? · Yes | 0.420 | 0.485 | $1.50 | +$0.20 |
| Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10? · Yes | 0.410 | 0.465 | $1.13 | +$0.13 |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes | 0.320 | 0.285 | $0.89 | −$0.11 |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by October 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.250 | 0.152 | $0.79 | −$0.51 |
| Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-10-13? · Yes | 0.075 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Will Viking FK win on 2026-10-13? · Yes | 0.333 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.00 |
| Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-10-13? · Yes | 0.260 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.50 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.62at 0.401Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 October 5-11?
- +$1.15at 0.480Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Spirit (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs
- +$-1.07at 0.161Will Trump say "SI" or "Super Intelligence" 5+ times during his Midterm Rally in Tennessee?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-13 20:13 | Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-10-13? | BUY | 0.0699999965 | $1.00 |
| 10-13 20:12 | Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-10-13? | BUY | 0.08 | $1.00 |
| 10-13 19:39 | Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-10-13? | BUY | 0.2599999896 | $2.50 |
| 10-13 19:38 | Will Viking FK win on 2026-10-13? | BUY | 0.3329999726 | $4.00 |
| 10-11 20:24 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | BUY | 0.4199998772 | $1.30 |
| 10-10 19:35 | Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 October 5-11? | BUY | 0.3699999593 | $1.00 |
| 10-10 19:34 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.32 | $1.00 |
| 10-10 19:33 | Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Spirit (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs | BUY | 0.4499998425 | $1.00 |
| 10-10 17:45 | Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10? | BUY | 0.4099998975 | $1.00 |
| 10-10 17:42 | Will Trump say "SI" or "Super Intelligence" 5+ times during his Midterm Rally in Tennessee? | BUY | 0.1499999925 | $1.00 |
| 10-10 17:40 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.25 | $1.30 |