rocky42022
0x08ceded238219b4b3fff04e00a4778d839d4f301
- Realised P&L
- $21.5k
- Volume
- $8.66M
- Markets traded
- 4,021
- Open portfolio
- $3.4k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded4,021
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration17.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration20.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.4kat 0.155Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-17?
- +$1.1kat 0.602US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
- +$1.1kat 0.102Al Ahli Saudi Club vs. Al Khaleej Saudi Club: O/U 4.5
- +$1.1kat 0.102Will Liverpool FC vs. Burnley FC end in a draw?
- +$1.1kat 0.466US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 07:28 | Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on September 17? | SELL | 0.57 | $97.47 |
| 09-14 02:00 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 22°C on September 14? | SELL | 0.48 | $4.80 |
| 09-13 16:00 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 23°C on September 14? | SELL | 0.57 | $64.41 |
| 09-11 15:59 | Next Grok Model (4.7+) released by September 12, 2026? | SELL | 0.41 | $10.66 |
| 09-11 08:17 | Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on September 11? | SELL | 0.46 | $2.30 |
| 09-09 02:30 | No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the November 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.33 | $49.17 |
| 09-08 16:31 | Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on September 9? | SELL | 0.47 | $37.60 |
| 09-08 02:16 | Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the November 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.342 | $13.68 |
| 09-07 19:20 | Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? | SELL | 0.948 | $246.48 |
| 09-06 16:19 | Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.647 | $82.82 |
| 09-06 04:57 | Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 96-97°F on September 6? | SELL | 0.51 | $8.67 |
| 09-04 21:45 | Dota 2: Team Lynx vs Power Rangers (BO3) - EPL Masters Group A | SELL | 0.44 | $3.96 |
| 09-04 10:49 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.46 | $11.50 |
| 09-04 08:44 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026? | SELL | 0.47 | $15.04 |
| 09-03 19:44 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026? | SELL | 0.55 | $8.25 |