rocky42022
0x08ceded238219b4b3fff04e00a4778d839d4f301
- Realised P&L
- $20.7k
- Volume
- $8.71M
- Markets traded
- 4,302
- Open portfolio
- $5.1k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded4,302
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration12.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration15.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.4kat 0.155Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-17?
- +$1.1kat 0.602US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
- +$1.1kat 0.102Al Ahli Saudi Club vs. Al Khaleej Saudi Club: O/U 4.5
- +$1.1kat 0.102Will Liverpool FC vs. Burnley FC end in a draw?
- +$1.1kat 0.466US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 15:47 | Will the Reserve Bank of India increase the policy repo rate by 25 bps at the December meeting? | SELL | 0.33 | $3.30 |
| 10-31 14:15 | Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 86-87°F on November 1? | SELL | 0.92 | $38.64 |
| 10-28 05:53 | Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.163 | $48.74 |
| 10-21 19:20 | Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-21? | SELL | 0.58 | $87.00 |
| 10-21 12:48 | Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Academy vs HAVU (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #12 Group Stage | SELL | 0.4 | $66.40 |
| 10-20 14:02 | Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.954 | $95.40 |
| 10-20 03:31 | Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 82-83°F on October 20? | SELL | 0.46 | $6.90 |
| 10-18 18:50 | Will "Babydoll — Dominic Fike" be the top song for 2026? | SELL | 0.1260474074 | $3.40 |
| 10-18 18:41 | Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 34°C on October 19? | SELL | 0.54 | $16.20 |
| 10-10 13:47 | Will Vitality Win the ESL Pro League Season 24? | SELL | 0.54 | $27.00 |
| 10-09 17:56 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 80-81°F on October 10? | SELL | 0.41 | $2.05 |
| 10-08 17:37 | Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | SELL | 0.57 | $62.13 |
| 10-08 09:01 | Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs | SELL | 0.11 | $9.35 |
| 10-08 09:01 | Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs | SELL | 0.11 | $12.32 |
| 10-08 09:01 | Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs | SELL | 0.11 | $12.32 |