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0xb7b870cc71c6fe7defd9cdb9d3c5a96b76b1559a
- Realised P&L
- $-22.21
- Volume
- $2.8k
- Markets traded
- 7
- Open portfolio
- $643.09
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded7
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)33.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration85.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026? · Yes | 0.020 | 0.923 | $547.64 | +$535.78 |
| Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026? · Yes | 0.020 | 0.317 | $95.10 | +$89.14 |
| Will DeepSeek have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026? · Yes | 0.051 | 0.007 | $0.35 | −$2.20 |
| Will DeepSeek have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026? · Yes | 0.027 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$7.70 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$13.84at 0.723Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?
- +$0.00at 0.180Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?
- +$-24.89at 0.152Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-22 03:09 | Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026? | BUY | 0.0197352941 | $2.68 |
| 09-22 03:03 | Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.02 | $11.86 |
| 08-17 01:36 | Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026? | SELL | 0.15 | $25.19 |
| 08-17 01:32 | Will DeepSeek have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026? | SELL | 0.03 | $4.50 |
| 07-22 12:28 | Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026? | BUY | 0.715 | $35.75 |
| 07-22 12:08 | Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026? | SELL | 0.274 | $18.09 |
| 07-21 08:16 | Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026? | SELL | 0.068 | $25.44 |
| 07-21 07:40 | Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026? | BUY | 0.0855636255 | $30.00 |
| 07-19 14:25 | Will DeepSeek have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026? | BUY | 0.0422735947 | $3.50 |
| 07-18 01:53 | Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026? | BUY | 0.3909999954 | $35.00 |