PolyBot

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Will Claude Opus's output price be at or above $25 in 2026?

Tick
0.01
Min order
5
Fees
0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends
2027-01-01
Resolves by
https://platform.claude.com/docs/en/about-claude/pricing
Rewards
40 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.53. up 0.03 over the period, from 0.50. Range 0.19 to 0.57. 101 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.56163163
0.7225188
0.7341229
0.7480309
0.9041350
0.9712361
0.9824385
0.9942427

Spread0.07Mid0.53

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.494040
0.15545
0.145095
0.1385180
0.1041221
0.0510231
0.0412243
0.0212254
0.01615870

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.514040
0.85545
0.865095
0.8785180
0.9041221
0.9510231
0.9612243
0.9812254
0.99615870

Spread0.07Mid0.47

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.44163163
0.2825188
0.2741229
0.2680309
0.1041350
0.0312361
0.0224385
0.0142427

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
G24L8Yes37
AJSVYes31.7
hithitfarYes26
abc3No21
GuyFromTinderNo20
Aggggaa12No19
youtube-traderNo17.85
tradetosurvive1No13.63
arbinglike99No3.21

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
00:01:53BUYNo0.4444$19.36
22:12:36BUYYes0.40999999538$15.52
20:25:00BUYYes0.409999980214$5.59
17:03:48BUYYes0.6126$15.86
17:03:48BUYYes0.6137$22.57
11:38:00SELLYes0.423$1.29
09:58:32SELLNo0.273$0.83
02:55:50SELLYes0.447$3.04
02:55:50SELLYes0.4410$4.40
02:55:42BUYYes0.443$1.36
02:55:42BUYYes0.4410$4.40
02:55:42BUYYes0.447$3.04
02:08:42SELLNo0.766$4.77
02:08:42BUYYes0.23999998736$1.51
01:27:27BUYYes0.20999997616$1.32
00:46:59BUYYes0.1721$3.57