PolyBot

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Traders

abc3

0x22a42db19a1dd2d7c214e1043a6c557c8eec13e5

Realised P&L
$-3.3k
Volume
$390.7k
Markets traded
1,697
Open portfolio
$1.1k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,697
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
CautionProfit concentration38.3% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)8.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration10.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-19 04:27Will it rain in Miami, FL on September 19?SELL0.89$9.01
09-19 03:59Will it rain in Chicago, IL on September 19?SELL0.92$9.20
09-19 03:59Will it rain in Chicago, IL on September 19?SELL0.05$1.05
09-19 03:47Will it rain in Miami, FL on September 19?SELL0.16$3.20
09-19 03:38Will "Digger" score at least 70 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?SELL0.6$36.18
09-19 03:35Will the Greenland agreement text be released by September 19, 2026? (copy)BUY0.94$28.20
09-19 03:34Will the Greenland agreement text be released by September 23, 2026? (copy) (copy)BUY0.74$22.20
09-19 03:18Will it rain in Los Angeles, CA on September 19?SELL0.02$0.42
09-19 01:28Will the announcers say "Trade" or "Traded" during the Colts vs Chiefs game?SELL0.1$2.10
09-19 01:26Will the announcers say "Safety" during the Colts vs Chiefs game?SELL0.08$1.68
09-19 01:26Will the announcers say "Referee" 5+ times during the Colts vs Chiefs game?SELL0.28$5.88
09-16 14:58Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.88$17.60
09-16 01:43Will Christopher Crum / Luke Wasson advance to the Final in Men's Doubles at the 2026 Veolia Arizona Open?SELL0.957$19.14
09-16 01:43Will Christopher Crum / Luke Wasson advance to the Final in Men's Doubles at the 2026 Veolia Arizona Open?SELL0.035$0.70
09-16 00:11Will Nicole Conard / Marcela Aguilar advance to the Final in Women's Doubles at the 2026 Veolia Arizona Open?SELL0.02$0.40