PolyBot

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Will Bernard Arnault be 2nd richest person on December 31?

Tick
0.001
Min order
5
Fees
0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends
2027-01-03
Resolves by
https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/
Rewards
50 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.018. down 0.099 over the period, from 0.117. Range 0.018 to 0.119. 150 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.0323636
0.234150186
0.235416602
0.50020622
0.5904831,105
0.679301,135
0.68091,144
0.68151,149
0.899951,244
0.900201,264
0.90161,270
0.90351,275

Spread0.028Mid0.018

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.004300300
0.0037307
0.0022,4322,739
0.0017,69010,429

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.996300300
0.9977307
0.9982,4322,739
0.9997,69010,429

Spread0.028Mid0.982

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.9683636
0.766150186
0.765416602
0.50020622
0.4104831,105
0.321301,135
0.32091,144
0.31951,149
0.101951,244
0.100201,264
0.09961,270
0.09751,275

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
PolyJaguarYes415.56
xtxpleasecallmeYes169.05
843Cc4C8e6dc29A4581126660814B0a6eF6A0734.Yes149.99
awgraewrfaYes145
2B9SYes127
PPMTYes28.94
GingerMcKennaYes25
Zypf7Yes20
NorthLuopanYes12
godblessme2026Yes7.4
3-mil-on-tourYes6
13klklasYes1.7
0xa5ef…2966No1,085.94
cigarettesNo21
AkirmensLeviNo1.13

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
11:28:58BUYYes0.03410$0.34
15:06:40BUYNo0.9955$4.98
09:03:32BUYNo0.99530$29.85
08:03:20BUYNo0.9910$9.90
12:13:04BUYNo0.99511$10.94
12:12:37BUYNo0.9956$5.97
12:12:32BUYNo0.9956$5.97
12:12:05BUYNo0.9954$3.97
12:12:05BUYNo0.99510$9.95
12:12:05BUYNo0.99512$11.93
12:11:56BUYNo0.99510$9.95
12:11:56BUYNo0.99515$14.92
12:11:46BUYNo0.9955$4.97
12:11:46BUYNo0.99510$9.95
12:11:26BUYNo0.99512$11.93
12:11:25BUYNo0.99513$12.93
12:11:08BUYNo0.99510$9.94
17:26:12SELLYes0.00520$0.10
05:31:21BUYNo0.99810$9.98
05:31:19BUYNo0.998225$224.55
05:31:19BUYNo0.99840$39.93
17:05:11BUYYes0.002690846364$0.17
12:13:32SELLNo0.9985$5.42
11:26:44SELLNo0.572$1.15
20:12:36BUYNo0.96999999331$1.45