Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1700 by December 31?

Tick: 0.001
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends: 2027-01-01

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.034. up 0.001 over the period, from 0.033. Range 0.033 to 0.036. 169 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.044	82	82
0.062	306	388
0.091	100	488
0.092	818	1,305
0.140	10	1,315
0.437	78	1,393
0.438	345	1,738
0.738	67	1,805
0.739	113	1,917
0.740	500	2,417
0.799	146	2,563
0.800	650	3,213

Spread0.022Mid0.033

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.022	100	100
0.020	10	110
0.017	120	230
0.013	62	292
0.012	100	392
0.011	9	401
0.010	10	411
0.008	21	432
0.007	100	532
0.005	32	564
0.004	66	630
0.003	170	801

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.978	100	100
0.980	10	110
0.983	120	230
0.987	62	292
0.988	100	392
0.989	9	401
0.990	10	411
0.992	21	432
0.993	100	532
0.995	32	564
0.996	66	630
0.997	170	801

Spread0.022Mid0.967

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.956	82	82
0.938	306	388
0.909	100	488
0.908	818	1,305
0.860	10	1,315
0.563	78	1,393
0.562	345	1,738
0.262	67	1,805
0.261	113	1,917
0.260	500	2,417
0.201	146	2,563
0.200	650	3,213

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
Oklmntrader	Yes	817.5
thecaricature	Yes	306.07
akunai	Yes	100
Numitus1994	Yes	81.79
yesornoo	Yes	55.56
MetrixNeo	Yes	22.79
Slackjaw	Yes	20
0x6fAc928528cc33Da83116717e3faC109b88b8dC4-1769013811379	Yes	20
2B9S	Yes	20
pootytherewardfarmer	Yes	16.77
LornaPredicts	Yes	13.45
copytrader.test	Yes	10.91
0x58e80Dd4a5c365BA380795103f5E0963a287bB5A-1781767424338	Yes	10
0xA885BB154252dC677aFcFbe2163752e2d0d4b731-1771168943205	Yes	7.14
0xe50c19A43bDd336B171e481E5630dc5e8F73D88C-1780110031415	Yes	6.3
plutopol3	Yes	6.25
BASSATS01	Yes	5
0x0000…dead	Yes	3.74
predictdogepepewif	Yes	1.82
big-short	No	1,379.13

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
12:05:25	BUY	Yes	0.0438758312	23	$1.00
16:12:43	SELL	No	0.957	27	$26.00
01:05:45	SELL	Yes	0.031	50	$1.55
20:26:21	SELL	Yes	0.03	1	$0.04
20:26:18	SELL	Yes	0.031	15	$0.47
01:57:54	SELL	Yes	0.033	8	$0.26
01:57:37	SELL	Yes	0.033	30	$0.99
01:57:33	SELL	Yes	0.034	30	$1.02
17:37:28	SELL	Yes	0.032	20	$0.64
12:06:52	SELL	Yes	0.037	20	$0.74
12:06:51	SELL	Yes	0.04	20	$0.80
12:06:49	SELL	Yes	0.056	50	$2.80
12:06:46	SELL	Yes	0.057	16	$0.88
12:06:39	SELL	Yes	0.059	173	$10.22
14:45:23	SELL	Yes	0.04	4	$0.15
14:45:22	SELL	Yes	0.042	19	$0.81
14:44:40	SELL	Yes	0.0558049276	79	$4.39
10:59:26	SELL	No	0.94	20	$18.80
10:59:14	BUY	Yes	0.062	50	$3.10
10:59:14	BUY	Yes	0.051931436	193	$10.04
12:03:10	SELL	No	0.949	51	$48.85
12:03:07	SELL	No	0.949	45	$42.95
12:03:07	SELL	No	0.95	40	$38.00
12:03:04	SELL	No	0.95	230	$218.50
12:45:56	SELL	No	0.95	50	$47.50