0xA885BB154252dC677aFcFbe2163752e2d0d4b731-1771168943205
0xa885bb154252dc677afcfbe2163752e2d0d4b731
- Realised P&L
- $-106.49
- Volume
- $3.5k
- Markets traded
- 38
- Open portfolio
- $2.17
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded38
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration67.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample34 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)29.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration89.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $800B? · No | 0.301 | 0.042 | $1.93 | −$12.07 |
| Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1700 by December 31? · Yes | 0.140 | 0.034 | $0.24 | −$0.76 |
| France vs. Spain: Team to Advance · France | 0.600 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$32.00 |
| England vs. Argentina: Team to Advance · England | 0.540 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$27.34 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$66.99at 0.250Will Bhumjaithai Party (BJT) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?
- +$6.37at 0.239Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-03-10?
- +$5.43at 0.269Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-11?
- +$4.98at 0.150Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?
- +$3.85at 0.098Will Google have the second-best AI model at the end of February 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-15 10:54 | England vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.5399999976 | $27.34 |
| 07-12 06:14 | France vs. Spain: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.5999999962 | $32.00 |
| 05-19 01:58 | Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? | SELL | 0.003 | $0.27 |
| 05-19 01:57 | Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman? | SELL | 0.003 | $0.05 |
| 05-15 10:37 | Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? | SELL | 0.23 | $3.28 |
| 05-15 10:36 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? | SELL | 0.311396648 | $4.46 |
| 05-15 10:35 | Will xAI have the top AI model at the end of June 2026? | SELL | 0.025 | $0.28 |
| 05-15 10:34 | Will Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026? | SELL | 0.2 | $1.44 |
| 05-12 08:27 | OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $800B? | BUY | 0.2799999788 | $9.00 |
| 05-07 08:05 | Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? | SELL | 0.0146885224 | $10.12 |
| 05-01 00:28 | Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman? | BUY | 0.3299999591 | $5.00 |
| 04-25 06:21 | Will Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026? | BUY | 0.2699999163 | $1.88 |
| 04-08 02:51 | Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? | BUY | 0.2099999489 | $3.00 |
| 04-07 01:50 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? | BUY | 0.3489999683 | $5.00 |
| 04-02 16:10 | Will Google have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)? | SELL | 0.0295237169 | $1.97 |