PolyBot

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Will a hurricane make landfall in Maryland by November 30, 2026?

Tick
0.001
Min order
5
Fees
0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends
2026-12-08
Resolves by
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/
Rewards
20 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.058. down 0.011 over the period, from 0.068. Range 0.057 to 0.069. 169 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.0592525
0.0602045
0.07080125
0.072205330
0.07320350
0.076130480
0.08533513
0.09019533
0.91324557
0.91441597
0.91623620
0.91849669

Spread0.003Mid0.057

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.0562525
0.0555075
0.0402297
0.019400497
0.01820517
0.0172,8743,391
0.01053,396
0.0021003,496
0.0014,7158,211

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.9442525
0.9455075
0.9602297
0.981400497
0.98220517
0.9832,8743,391
0.99053,396
0.9981003,496
0.9994,7158,211

Spread0.003Mid0.942

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.9412525
0.9402045
0.93080125
0.928205330
0.92720350
0.924130480
0.91533513
0.91019533
0.08724557
0.08641597
0.08423620
0.08249669

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
thecaricatureYes145
Dr.PNLYes131.89
0x5533…51baYes50
FluoYes40
FarlightYes20
AJSVYes20
Mojito9Yes20
balabalababalabalaNo371.89
slobodNo30
0xf51b…ca1bNo25

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
11:07:30BUYNo0.94425$23.60
18:27:31SELLYes0.0638200$12.76
13:21:19SELLYes0.07220$1.44
13:21:10SELLYes0.07740$3.08
14:04:42SELLYes0.03320$0.66
05:56:21SELLYes0.01120$0.22
03:18:39SELLYes0.01120$0.22
03:14:58SELLYes0.012540$0.50
02:33:42SELLYes0.0136100$1.36
02:25:12BUYNo0.9694890962372$360.54
00:16:57SELLYes0.0320$0.60
00:16:49BUYNo0.9660$57.60
22:42:57SELLYes0.0450$2.00
22:39:48SELLYes0.0420$0.80
22:38:48SELLYes0.0420$0.80
22:38:43BUYNo0.9470$65.80
22:31:27BUYNo0.93140$130.20
22:23:42BUYYes0.0820$1.60