Will a 9.0+ earthquake occur worldwide by September 30?

Tick: 0.001
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends: 2026-10-04
Resolves by: https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.001. down 0.002 over the period, from 0.003. Range 0.001 to 0.003. 169 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.001	35	35
0.003	6	41
0.004	1,000	1,041
0.005	507	1,548
0.009	100	1,648
0.010	50	1,698
0.012	175	1,873
0.059	220	2,093
0.489	14	2,107
0.500	14	2,121
0.550	16	2,136
0.570	16	2,153

Spread—Mid—

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total

Spread—Mid—

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.999	35	35
0.997	6	41
0.996	1,000	1,041
0.995	507	1,548
0.991	100	1,648
0.990	50	1,698
0.988	175	1,873
0.941	220	2,093
0.511	14	2,107
0.500	14	2,121
0.450	16	2,136
0.430	16	2,153

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
0xC1471e5e80f7c5149f5D29bcf7-0717159345256	Yes	150
74744886D1081ab236510E04c5b617b914A3Cef7.	Yes	100
flexer78	Yes	65
0x230d59Fa945B31660740EA95b8C9F774ED303fBB-1774601889454	Yes	50
AJSV	Yes	47.62
Numitus1994	Yes	21
Mojito9	Yes	20
TENETENET	Yes	10
0xF03D13c94373E052a177601419291Ce2FAfE21Fb-1769526558724	Yes	10
NFLandChill	Yes	6.1
0xA05C4259e96B0aE00FeAa737214bF8Bf4e8b6f9F-1731150808149	Yes	6
gogogo-v3	Yes	5
triklozoid	Yes	5
blessedshirt	Yes	1.01
bubububblebutt	No	176
ranksdog	No	140.73
weapon08	No	105
namemmonkey	No	75

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
20:40:53	BUY	No	0.999	176	$175.82
21:08:30	SELL	No	0.996	1	$1.01
08:56:33	SELL	Yes	0.003	10	$0.03
03:40:22	BUY	No	0.996	105	$104.58
02:00:24	SELL	Yes	0.004	5	$0.02
09:35:43	BUY	No	0.9897333333	75	$74.23
06:41:27	BUY	No	0.9793126554	141	$137.82