namemmonkey
0x17de013aa8d3980d4b384339374ce6003a75b94e
- Realised P&L
- $456.56
- Volume
- $76.2k
- Markets traded
- 223
- Open portfolio
- $1.1k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded223
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration49.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House · Yes | 0.500 | 0.645 | $543.09 | +$122.09 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House · No | 0.500 | 0.355 | $298.91 | −$122.09 |
| Will a 9.0+ earthquake occur worldwide by September 30? · No | 0.990 | 1.000 | $74.96 | +$0.73 |
| Will Trump speak to Yoon Suk Yeol by October 31? · No | 0.990 | 0.985 | $67.17 | −$0.34 |
| Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31, 2026? · No | 0.990 | 0.984 | $49.20 | −$0.30 |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? · No | 0.790 | 0.785 | $39.25 | −$0.25 |
| Trump out as President before 2027? · No | 0.963 | 0.965 | $16.07 | +$0.03 |
| Will a 9.0+ earthquake occur worldwide by October 31? · No | 0.990 | 0.974 | $9.74 | −$0.16 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$152.85at 0.985Yoon arrested by Friday?
- +$118.81at 0.012Will the government shutdown end November 14?
- +$61.00at 0.913Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11?
- +$12.12at 0.981Will there be exactly 12 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?
- +$11.40at 0.962Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 22°C or higher on April 28?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-02 05:46 | Will a 9.0+ earthquake occur worldwide by October 31? | BUY | 0.99 | $9.90 |
| 10-02 05:45 | Will Trump speak to Yoon Suk Yeol by October 31? | BUY | 0.99 | $67.51 |
| 10-02 05:44 | Trump out as President before 2027? | BUY | 0.963 | $16.03 |
| 10-02 05:44 | Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.99 | $49.50 |
| 09-27 04:21 | Solana all time high by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $40.92 |
| 09-27 04:09 | Solana all time high by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.997 | $118.14 |
| 09-27 04:09 | Bitcoin all time high by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $499.00 |
| 09-27 04:07 | Will the lowest temperature in Moscow be 8°C on September 27? | BUY | 0.9866666667 | $14.80 |
| 09-09 03:36 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in September? | BUY | 0.99 | $99.00 |
| 09-09 03:34 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in September? | BUY | 0.989 | $4.99 |
| 09-09 03:34 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in September? | BUY | 0.989 | $4.89 |
| 09-08 02:49 | US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 15? | BUY | 0.973 | $48.65 |
| 09-05 07:56 | Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.501 | $137.78 |
| 08-26 10:00 | Will the lowest temperature in Toronto be 9°C or below on August 26? | BUY | 0.998 | $143.71 |
| 08-26 09:59 | Will the lowest temperature in Istanbul be 22°C on August 26? | BUY | 0.99 | $119.79 |