PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

namemmonkey

0x17de013aa8d3980d4b384339374ce6003a75b94e

Realised P&L
$456.56
Volume
$76.2k
Markets traded
223
Open portfolio
$1.1k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded223
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration13.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration49.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House · Yes0.5000.645$543.09+$122.09
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House · No0.5000.355$298.91−$122.09
Will a 9.0+ earthquake occur worldwide by September 30? · No0.9901.000$74.96+$0.73
Will Trump speak to Yoon Suk Yeol by October 31? · No0.9900.985$67.17−$0.34
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31, 2026? · No0.9900.984$49.20−$0.30
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? · No0.7900.785$39.25−$0.25
Trump out as President before 2027? · No0.9630.965$16.07+$0.03
Will a 9.0+ earthquake occur worldwide by October 31? · No0.9900.974$9.74−$0.16

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-02 05:46Will a 9.0+ earthquake occur worldwide by October 31?BUY0.99$9.90
10-02 05:45Will Trump speak to Yoon Suk Yeol by October 31?BUY0.99$67.51
10-02 05:44Trump out as President before 2027?BUY0.963$16.03
10-02 05:44Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31, 2026?BUY0.99$49.50
09-27 04:21Solana all time high by September 30, 2026?BUY0.998$40.92
09-27 04:09Solana all time high by September 30, 2026?BUY0.997$118.14
09-27 04:09Bitcoin all time high by September 30, 2026?BUY0.998$499.00
09-27 04:07Will the lowest temperature in Moscow be 8°C on September 27?BUY0.9866666667$14.80
09-09 03:36Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in September?BUY0.99$99.00
09-09 03:34Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in September?BUY0.989$4.99
09-09 03:34Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in September?BUY0.989$4.89
09-08 02:49US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 15?BUY0.973$48.65
09-05 07:56Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL0.501$137.78
08-26 10:00Will the lowest temperature in Toronto be 9°C or below on August 26?BUY0.998$143.71
08-26 09:59Will the lowest temperature in Istanbul be 22°C on August 26?BUY0.99$119.79