PolyBot

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Traders

weapon08

0xc8489bba77ba91994c3d7539e93c0ca089c4dac0

Realised P&L
$129.12
Volume
$19.5k
Markets traded
93
Open portfolio
$104.95

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded93
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration35.2% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will a 9.0+ earthquake occur worldwide by September 30? · No0.9961.000$104.95+$0.37

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-11 03:46Trump out as President by September 30?BUY0.991$95.14
09-11 03:45Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026?BUY0.991$99.10
09-11 03:40Will a 9.0+ earthquake occur worldwide by September 30?BUY0.996$104.58
08-29 06:50Will the lowest temperature in Tel Aviv be 20°C on August 29?BUY0.998$224.55
08-29 06:50Will the lowest temperature in Tel Aviv be 24°C on August 29?BUY0.99$52.81
08-29 06:49Will the lowest temperature in Tel Aviv be 24°C on August 29?BUY0.98$19.94
08-10 07:10Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 27°C or higher on August 10?BUY0.999$265.73
08-10 07:02Iran full airspace closure by August 15?BUY0.953$19.06
08-10 06:53Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C on August 10?BUY0.99$181.48
08-09 03:56Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 37°C or higher on August 9?BUY0.999$284.53
07-25 07:42Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 15°C on July 25?BUY0.999$98.90
07-25 07:21Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C on July 26?BUY0.98$29.40
07-25 07:20Iran leadership change by July 31?BUY0.961$28.83
07-25 07:16Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?BUY0.993$49.65
07-25 07:16Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?BUY0.745$22.35