greden22
0x5be38eb43958fa8ab6e9dd09cef2565e1f1a54df
- Realised P&L
- $480.08
- Volume
- $4.1k
- Markets traded
- 75
- Open portfolio
- $1.2k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar11.6%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded75
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration21.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration15.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$117.89at 0.369Will NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from August 14 to August 21, 2026?
- +$28.82at 0.740Will NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from September 11 to September 18, 2026?
- +$24.47at 0.649Will Meituan have the best AI Agent at the end of July 2026?
- +$23.09at 0.669Will Moonshot have the best AI Agent at the end of July 2026?
- +$23.09at 0.669Will Mistral have the best AI Agent at the end of July 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-19 11:50 | Will NYC Mayor post 40-59 posts from September 18 to September 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.09 | $6.75 |
| 09-19 11:49 | Will NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from September 18 to September 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.81 | $89.91 |
| 09-13 07:18 | Will NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from September 11 to September 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.73 | $80.88 |
| 08-28 07:35 | Will PCQ finish in third place in the Quebec general election? | BUY | 0.38 | $7.60 |
| 08-28 07:32 | Will AfD win 38-41 seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections? | BUY | 0.2535598706 | $39.18 |
| 08-28 07:29 | Will PLQ finish in second place in the Quebec general election? | BUY | 0.761667 | $76.17 |
| 08-12 10:07 | Will Peter Olofsson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Västerbotten? | BUY | 0.73 | $39.00 |
| 08-12 10:07 | Will Peter Olofsson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Västerbotten? | BUY | 0.73 | $14.60 |
| 08-11 11:24 | Will Paul Fromm win the 2026 Hamilton, Ontario mayoral election? | BUY | 0.96 | $50.40 |
| 08-11 11:20 | Will Jasenko Omanovic be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Västernorrland? | BUY | 0.8974372104 | $73.61 |
| 08-11 10:05 | Will NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from August 14 to August 21, 2026? | BUY | 0.36 | $14.40 |
| 08-11 09:20 | Will Monica Johansson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Sörmland? | BUY | 0.95 | $39.54 |
| 08-11 09:19 | Will Monica Johansson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Sörmland? | BUY | 0.97 | $19.40 |
| 08-11 09:19 | Will Monica Johansson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Sörmland? | BUY | 0.9603770739 | $25.47 |
| 08-11 09:12 | Will Jenny Lundström be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Uppsala? | BUY | 0.96 | $19.20 |