PolyBot

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Traders

greden22

0x5be38eb43958fa8ab6e9dd09cef2565e1f1a54df

Realised P&L
$480.08
Volume
$4.1k
Markets traded
75
Open portfolio
$1.2k

Can you copy this trader?

plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar11.6%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded75
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration21.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration15.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Helena Proos be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Uppsala? · Yes0.6740.965$185.56+$55.88
Will Monica Johansson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Sörmland? · No0.9581.000$99.09+$4.12
Will PLQ finish in second place in the Quebec general election? · Yes0.7620.982$98.15+$21.98
Will Peter Olofsson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Västerbotten? · Yes0.7210.951$95.40+$23.11
Will Jasenko Omanovic be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Västernorrland? · No0.8970.993$81.45+$7.84
Will Henrietta Modig Serrate be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Kronoberg? · Yes0.6670.954$76.32+$22.92
Will Maria Lundqvist-Brömster be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Västerbotten? · No0.9260.998$64.37+$4.61
Will Gunnar Nordmark be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Kronoberg? · No0.9431.000$61.38+$3.44
Will Scarlett Gillespie win the 2026 Hamilton, Ontario mayoral election? · No0.9290.916$58.82−$0.82
Will Sara Gunnarsson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Värmland? · No0.9300.954$58.48+$1.45
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IL-05 House election? · No0.9420.997$56.21+$3.10
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IL-02 House election? · No0.9450.996$53.53+$2.76
Will Paul Fromm win the 2026 Hamilton, Ontario mayoral election? · No0.9600.999$52.42+$2.02
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IL-03 House election? · No0.9400.994$45.09+$2.43
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IL-07 House election? · No0.9200.976$43.71+$2.51

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-19 11:50Will NYC Mayor post 40-59 posts from September 18 to September 25, 2026?BUY0.09$6.75
09-19 11:49Will NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from September 18 to September 25, 2026?BUY0.81$89.91
09-13 07:18Will NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from September 11 to September 18, 2026?BUY0.73$80.88
08-28 07:35Will PCQ finish in third place in the Quebec general election?BUY0.38$7.60
08-28 07:32Will AfD win 38-41 seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?BUY0.2535598706$39.18
08-28 07:29Will PLQ finish in second place in the Quebec general election?BUY0.761667$76.17
08-12 10:07Will Peter Olofsson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Västerbotten?BUY0.73$39.00
08-12 10:07Will Peter Olofsson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Västerbotten?BUY0.73$14.60
08-11 11:24Will Paul Fromm win the 2026 Hamilton, Ontario mayoral election?BUY0.96$50.40
08-11 11:20Will Jasenko Omanovic be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Västernorrland?BUY0.8974372104$73.61
08-11 10:05Will NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from August 14 to August 21, 2026?BUY0.36$14.40
08-11 09:20Will Monica Johansson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Sörmland?BUY0.95$39.54
08-11 09:19Will Monica Johansson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Sörmland?BUY0.97$19.40
08-11 09:19Will Monica Johansson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Sörmland?BUY0.9603770739$25.47
08-11 09:12Will Jenny Lundström be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Uppsala?BUY0.96$19.20