PolyBot

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Will there be 125 or more tornadoes in the US in September 2026?

Tick
0.001
Min order
5
Fees
0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends
2026-10-14

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.113. down 0.081 over the period, from 0.194. Range 0.113 to 0.196. 169 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.224109109
0.94913122
0.95075197
0.95124221
0.95241262
0.96012274
0.9908282
0.99915297

Spread0.222Mid0.113

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.002637637
0.0013651,002

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.998637637
0.9993651,002

Spread0.222Mid0.887

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.776109109
0.05113122
0.05075197
0.04924221
0.04841262
0.04012274
0.0108282
0.00115297

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
merodYes92
AJSVYes35
korda77Yes16.5
843Cc4C8e6dc29A4581126660814B0a6eF6A0734.Yes13.02
0x230d59Fa945B31660740EA95b8C9F774ED303fBB-1774601889454Yes12.2
Hugin-og-MuninYes5
0x0E7Fa09bF44514634293b5ecC2420C50ABYes5
0xa5ef…2966No128.5
0x758Edf839EE3C9718Aa8E8CcEDea88726f1D4916-1771087895483No25
panoliNo20.2
fbvxfbNo5.02

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
18:09:15SELLYes0.0038$0.02
09:37:20BUYNo0.99410$9.94
09:34:54BUYNo0.9945$4.97
06:45:27BUYNo0.9975$5.00
10:26:27BUYNo0.9920$20.00
08:18:18BUYNo0.9625$24.00