fbvxfb
0x247d1e0172fc5dab969d8bb6d9b9fa1b04713ee4
- Realised P&L
- $46.32
- Volume
- $1.7k
- Markets traded
- 11
- Open portfolio
- $4.45
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.7%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- BlockerMarkets traded11
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration80.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample9 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will there be 125 or more tornadoes in the US in September 2026? · No | 0.997 | 0.887 | $4.45 | −$0.55 |
| France vs. England: Team to Win · France | 0.650 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$8.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$139.64at 0.417Bitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET
- +$34.76at 0.537Bitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET
- +$0.21at 0.999Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on April 14?
- +$0.01at 0.999Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
- +$0.01at 0.996Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 14?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-22 06:45 | Will there be 125 or more tornadoes in the US in September 2026? | BUY | 0.997 | $5.00 |
| 08-11 03:43 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET | SELL | 0.8574099252 | $277.47 |
| 08-11 03:42 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET | BUY | 0.24 | $30.00 |
| 08-11 03:38 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET | BUY | 0.503468006 | $100.00 |
| 08-11 03:38 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET | SELL | 0.1 | $12.34 |
| 08-11 03:37 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET | BUY | 0.4299999961 | $20.00 |
| 08-11 03:35 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET | BUY | 0.52 | $40.00 |
| 08-11 03:33 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET | SELL | 0.22 | $35.42 |
| 08-11 03:29 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET | SELL | 0.99 | $76.15 |
| 08-11 03:27 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET | BUY | 0.4968092426 | $80.00 |
| 08-11 03:24 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET | SELL | 0.01 | $0.34 |
| 08-11 03:24 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET | BUY | 0.52 | $40.00 |
| 08-11 03:20 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET | BUY | 0.6197127569 | $10.00 |
| 08-11 03:20 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET | BUY | 0.5699999966 | $10.00 |
| 07-17 08:34 | France vs. England: Team to Win | BUY | 0.6499999878 | $8.00 |