PolyBot

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Traders

0x758Edf839EE3C9718Aa8E8CcEDea88726f1D4916-1771087895483

0x758edf839ee3c9718aa8e8ccedea88726f1d4916

Realised P&L
$219.64
Volume
$7.4k
Markets traded
56
Open portfolio
$357.47

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar3.0%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded56
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration26.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration58.5% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will there be between 75 and 124 tornadoes in the US in September 2026? · No0.9740.983$209.25+$1.97
Will there be between 50 and 74 tornadoes in the US in September 2026? · Yes0.3290.735$73.41+$40.58
Will there be between 25 and 49 tornadoes in the US in September 2026? · Yes0.9630.185$43.68−$183.73
Will there be 125 or more tornadoes in the US in September 2026? · No0.9600.887$22.18−$1.82
Will there be under 25 tornadoes in the US in September 2026? · No0.9600.895$8.95−$0.65
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11? · Yes0.2320.000$0.00−$2.50
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET · Up0.8500.000$0.00−$5.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-01 08:33Will there be between 50 and 74 tornadoes in the US in September 2026?BUY0.95$20.31
09-30 22:32Will there be between 25 and 49 tornadoes in the US in September 2026?SELL0.71$3.55
09-29 11:05Will there be between 50 and 74 tornadoes in the US in September 2026?BUY0.3$1.50
09-29 11:02Will there be between 50 and 74 tornadoes in the US in September 2026?BUY0.15$11.03
09-29 11:02Will there be between 50 and 74 tornadoes in the US in September 2026?SELL0.85$29.75
09-27 12:28Will there be between 25 and 49 tornadoes in the US in September 2026?BUY0.98$106.33
09-26 14:37Will there be between 25 and 49 tornadoes in the US in September 2026?BUY0.97$24.25
09-26 08:42Will there be between 25 and 49 tornadoes in the US in September 2026?BUY0.96$24.00
09-26 08:25Will there be between 25 and 49 tornadoes in the US in September 2026?BUY0.94$77.64
09-25 11:04Will there be between 75 and 124 tornadoes in the US in September 2026?BUY0.98$121.52
09-22 13:25Will there be between 50 and 74 tornadoes in the US in September 2026?BUY0.7814285714$27.35
09-22 08:39Will there be between 75 and 124 tornadoes in the US in September 2026?BUY0.97$64.67
09-15 08:26Will there be between 75 and 124 tornadoes in the US in September 2026?BUY0.95$21.09
09-10 10:57Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 6:55AM-7:00AM ETBUY0.8499999915$5.00
09-09 15:02Will 80 to 99 tornadoes occur in the United States in August 2026?BUY0.963$30.15