panoli
0xd17a407b735143bd18f85f6cbf01f7e49289b840
- Realised P&L
- $44.99
- Volume
- $6.9k
- Markets traded
- 114
- Open portfolio
- $310.89
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded114
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration25.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration29.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$17.12at 0.905Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 23°C on May 14?
- +$14.90at 0.886Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 21°C on May 6?
- +$13.65at 0.855X banned in U.K. by March 31?
- +$13.17at 0.820Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?
- +$12.36at 0.890José Luís Rodríguez Zapatero arrested by March 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-05 17:22 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31? | BUY | 0.988 | $45.00 |
| 10-05 17:18 | Will "Doing Life" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week? | BUY | 0.999 | $20.00 |
| 10-05 17:15 | Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in October? | BUY | 0.9969999772 | $20.00 |
| 10-05 17:09 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31? | BUY | 0.975 | $40.00 |
| 10-05 17:05 | Will there be under 20 tornadoes in the US in October 2026? | BUY | 0.8199999967 | $10.00 |
| 09-17 17:59 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in September? | BUY | 0.9939999998 | $21.00 |
| 09-12 10:34 | Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? | BUY | 0.9849999771 | $20.00 |
| 09-12 10:32 | Will Alysa Liu be the #1 searched person on Google this year? | BUY | 0.9639999985 | $20.00 |
| 09-12 10:29 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | BUY | 0.9829999996 | $30.00 |
| 09-12 10:28 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31? | BUY | 0.9199999338 | $10.00 |
| 09-12 10:26 | Will there be under 25 tornadoes in the US in September 2026? | BUY | 0.9943209705 | $20.00 |
| 09-12 10:26 | Will there be 125 or more tornadoes in the US in September 2026? | BUY | 0.99 | $20.00 |
| 09-12 10:22 | Will monthly inflation increase by 0.8% or more in September? | BUY | 0.9801980004 | $20.00 |
| 09-12 10:20 | Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 7th Weekend Box Office be between 10m and 11m? | BUY | 0.998 | $20.00 |
| 09-09 15:08 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 29°C on September 9? | BUY | 0.9961701901 | $60.00 |