PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

panoli

0xd17a407b735143bd18f85f6cbf01f7e49289b840

Realised P&L
$44.99
Volume
$6.9k
Markets traded
114
Open portfolio
$310.89

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded114
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration25.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration29.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-05 17:22Will the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31?BUY0.988$45.00
10-05 17:18Will "Doing Life" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?BUY0.999$20.00
10-05 17:15Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in October?BUY0.9969999772$20.00
10-05 17:09Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?BUY0.975$40.00
10-05 17:05Will there be under 20 tornadoes in the US in October 2026?BUY0.8199999967$10.00
09-17 17:59Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in September?BUY0.9939999998$21.00
09-12 10:34Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?BUY0.9849999771$20.00
09-12 10:32Will Alysa Liu be the #1 searched person on Google this year?BUY0.9639999985$20.00
09-12 10:29Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?BUY0.9829999996$30.00
09-12 10:28Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?BUY0.9199999338$10.00
09-12 10:26Will there be under 25 tornadoes in the US in September 2026?BUY0.9943209705$20.00
09-12 10:26Will there be 125 or more tornadoes in the US in September 2026?BUY0.99$20.00
09-12 10:22Will monthly inflation increase by 0.8% or more in September?BUY0.9801980004$20.00
09-12 10:20Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 7th Weekend Box Office be between 10m and 11m?BUY0.998$20.00
09-09 15:08Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 29°C on September 9?BUY0.9961701901$60.00