PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Will there be under 25 tornadoes in the US in September 2026?

Tick
0.001
Min order
5
Fees
0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends
2026-10-14

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.107. down 0.067 over the period, from 0.174. Range 0.105 to 0.174. 169 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.208109109
0.9868117
0.98758175
0.9908183
0.99915198

Spread0.202Mid0.107

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.006309309
0.00585394
0.002500894
0.0015711,465

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.994309309
0.99585394
0.998500894
0.9995711,465

Spread0.202Mid0.893

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.792109109
0.0148117
0.01358175
0.0108183
0.00115198

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
merodYes92
AJSVYes20
korda77Yes16.5
Hugin-og-MuninYes10
0x0E7Fa09bF44514634293b5ecC2420C50ABYes10
613b668ef24D3A37417cb5756c5943cae761DA44.Yes8
LornaPredictsYes2.11
0xa5ef…2966No128.5
panoliNo20.11
0x758Edf839EE3C9718Aa8E8CcEDea88726f1D4916-1771087895483No10

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
18:09:15SELLYes0.0048$0.03
09:37:24SELLYes0.00610$0.06
10:13:22SELLYes0.00220$0.04
10:26:39BUYNo0.994320970520$20.00
08:14:51BUYNo0.9610$9.60