PolyBot

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Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 10°C or below on September 26?

Tick
0.01
Min order
5
Fees
0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends
2026-09-26
Resolves by
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
Rewards
20 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.07. down 0.28 over the period, from 0.35. Range 0.01 to 0.35. 30 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.101010
0.112636
0.12541
0.14546
0.151561
0.173596
0.249105
0.2595200
0.3213214
0.33100314
0.3431344
0.3660404

Spread0.07Mid0.07

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.03177177
0.02300477
0.012,1832,660

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.97177177
0.98300477
0.992,1832,660

Spread0.07Mid0.94

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.901010
0.892636
0.88541
0.86546
0.851561
0.833596
0.769105
0.7595200
0.6813214
0.67100314
0.6631344
0.6460404

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
Loulou89Yes183.71
0xD42458184165D93Db09290c1Cb0964212Dd732cF-1790194688809Yes113.97
Calimer0Yes40.4
tradetosurvive1Yes20
balthazarYes17.41
Alcaraz2026Yes1.43
0xa5ef…2966No109.2
hotcoldNo75
MetamonNo60
weatherBearNo48
rrqqzqNo40.4
opopv.No21.43
0x708b9AF6A9F75Ca4ae36D002a4BaE72a17Ffe9No10
AndDanNo8.16
0x45E7f98a1f64c1e5Eea2fBNo5

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
08:32:23BUYYes0.0544323483184$10.00
08:09:15BUYNo0.988$8.00
08:02:54BUYNo0.988$7.84
08:02:50BUYNo0.9810$9.80
08:02:35BUYNo0.988$7.84
08:02:20BUYNo0.985$4.90
08:02:15BUYNo0.988$7.84
08:01:59BUYYes0.0267$1.34
03:16:57BUYNo0.9940$40.00
05:22:21SELLYes0.0140$0.40
05:19:23BUYNo0.920$18.00
05:17:08BUYYes0.720$14.00
05:17:08BUYYes0.71$1.00