Loulou89
0xf10e941dbd215b98b90be7dd9ec61da409ef4308
- Realised P&L
- $5.3k
- Volume
- $169.5k
- Markets traded
- 1,194
- Open portfolio
- $289.60
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar3.1%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- CautionMarkets traded1,194
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration11.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on October 5? · Yes | 0.966 | 1.000 | $289.60 | +$9.60 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$187.69at 0.726Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 11°C on April 2?
- +$140.33at 0.902Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on April 8?
- +$130.70at 0.620Will the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C on March 12?
- +$114.60at 0.661Will the highest temperature in Manila be 35°C on May 4?
- +$113.71at 0.736Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 34°C on April 29?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-05 14:19 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on October 5? | BUY | 0.9849056706 | $250.00 |
| 10-05 14:05 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 22°C on October 5? | SELL | 0.0109075067 | $0.08 |
| 10-05 13:28 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on October 5? | BUY | 0.8352668136 | $30.00 |
| 10-05 12:54 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 22°C on October 5? | SELL | 0.011 | $0.57 |
| 10-05 07:36 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on October 5? | BUY | 0.9648390744 | $100.00 |
| 10-05 07:35 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 22°C on October 5? | BUY | 0.6699999611 | $5.00 |
| 10-05 07:33 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 19°C on October 5? | BUY | 0.6699999611 | $5.00 |
| 10-05 07:31 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 14°C on October 5? | BUY | 0.9295498995 | $30.00 |
| 10-05 07:28 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 22°C on October 5? | BUY | 0.9660281752 | $50.00 |
| 10-05 07:25 | Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 21°C on October 5? | BUY | 0.9731079208 | $40.00 |
| 10-05 07:25 | Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 20°C on October 5? | BUY | 0.447876432 | $10.00 |
| 10-04 14:31 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C or higher on October 4? | BUY | 0.9849512005 | $500.00 |
| 10-04 12:57 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C or higher on October 4? | BUY | 0.9079999999 | $50.00 |
| 10-04 12:41 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C or higher on October 4? | BUY | 0.8751864512 | $30.00 |
| 10-04 08:19 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 14°C on October 4? | SELL | 0.85 | $6.34 |