0x708b9AF6A9F75Ca4ae36D002a4BaE72a17Ffe9
0x708b9af6a9f75ca4ae36d002a4bae72a17ffe937
- Realised P&L
- $218.26
- Volume
- $72.0k
- Markets traded
- 8,653
- Open portfolio
- $613.81
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded8,653
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration7.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration3.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.00at 0.800Will Hong Kong have 240mm or more of precipitation in May?
- +$1.59at 0.800Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 36°C on June 2?
- +$1.58at 0.800Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 25°C on June 2?
- +$1.52at 0.810Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on June 1?
- +$1.51at 0.810Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on June 2?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 19:49 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on August 5? | BUY | 0.92 | $5.52 |
| 08-04 18:38 | Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.96 | $5.76 |
| 08-04 18:28 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 30°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.97 | $5.82 |
| 08-04 18:17 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 34°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.98 | $5.88 |
| 08-04 17:21 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.8 | $4.80 |
| 08-04 17:05 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 34°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.98 | $5.88 |
| 08-04 16:57 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.989 | $5.93 |
| 08-04 16:06 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.99 | $5.94 |
| 08-04 16:01 | Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.99 | $5.94 |
| 08-04 15:19 | Will the highest temperature in Busan be 37°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.96 | $5.76 |
| 08-04 14:13 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 84-85°F on August 5? | BUY | 0.92 | $5.52 |
| 08-04 14:07 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 80-81°F on August 5? | BUY | 0.988 | $5.93 |
| 08-04 14:04 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 19°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.988 | $5.93 |
| 08-04 14:03 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on August 5? | BUY | 0.98 | $5.88 |
| 08-04 13:39 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 15°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.96 | $5.76 |