PolyBot

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Traders

hotcold

0xc1200dd35a85da9b9ba552582d6103dd3d39a7e3

Realised P&L
$2.8k
Volume
$633.4k
Markets traded
7,571
Open portfolio
$670.29

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded7,571
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration8.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration42.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-28 04:07Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 17°C on September 28?SELL0.999$14.98
09-21 02:40Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 28°C or higher on September 21?SELL0.999$119.88
09-20 08:44Will the highest temperature in Manila be 35°C on September 20?SELL0.999$25.97
09-15 13:11Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C or below on September 15?SELL0.999$123.68
09-15 13:11Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C or higher on September 15?SELL0.999$93.91
09-15 13:11Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C or higher on September 15?SELL0.999$115.88
09-15 13:11Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 33°C on September 15?SELL0.999$15.98
09-15 13:11Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on September 15?SELL0.999$23.06
09-15 01:17Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on September 15?BUY0.866$6.06
09-15 01:16Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on September 15?BUY0.867$6.07
09-14 11:26Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 12°C on September 14?BUY0.989$14.83
09-14 11:26Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 12°C on September 14?BUY0.989$4.18
09-14 07:23Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 17°C on September 14?BUY0.99$5.74
09-14 07:22Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 17°C on September 14?BUY0.99$6.93
09-14 07:21Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 17°C on September 14?BUY0.99$7.92