Will 170-189 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between October 12-October 18?

Tick: 0.01
Min order: 5
Fees: None on this market
Ends: 2026-10-19
Resolves by: https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/6b1814d64903461b98144a6cc25eb79c
Rewards: 20 min size · 8.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.23. down 0.02 over the period, from 0.26. Range 0.12 to 0.30. 49 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.26	20	20
0.27	23	43
0.29	120	163
0.72	7	170
0.73	370	540
0.74	101	641
0.93	5	646
0.95	5	651
0.96	42	693
0.99	33	726

Spread0.06Mid0.23

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.20	113	113
0.18	35	148
0.17	20	168
0.14	20	188
0.07	10	198
0.03	5	203
0.02	24	227
0.01	45	272

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.80	113	113
0.82	35	148
0.83	20	168
0.86	20	188
0.93	10	198
0.97	5	203
0.98	24	227
0.99	45	272

Spread0.06Mid0.77

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.74	20	20
0.73	23	43
0.71	120	163
0.28	7	170
0.27	370	540
0.26	101	641
0.07	5	646
0.05	5	651
0.04	42	693
0.01	33	726

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
AJSV	Yes	153
quine-zyx	Yes	66.67
PPMT	Yes	20.06
0xa5ef…2966	No	85.13
lolzzzlol	No	70
GuyFromTinder	No	35
0xa169…1b73	No	20.06
pootytherewardfarmer	No	20
Haradwaith	No	10

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
21:36:29	BUY	No	0.789999995	20	$15.85
19:23:03	BUY	Yes	0.2	20	$4.00
14:04:39	SELL	No	0.73	10	$7.30
13:35:37	SELL	No	0.78	40	$31.20
13:35:34	BUY	Yes	0.2	50	$10.00
13:27:36	BUY	Yes	0.18	20	$3.60
13:27:36	BUY	Yes	0.17	83	$14.11
05:46:41	BUY	No	0.85	5	$4.25
05:15:03	BUY	Yes	0.16	7	$1.14
05:15:02	BUY	Yes	0.16	7	$1.07
05:15:02	BUY	Yes	0.16	7	$1.07
05:15:02	BUY	Yes	0.1499999993	67	$10.00