PolyBot

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Will the highest temperature in Milan be 30°C or higher on October 4?

Tick
0.001
Min order
5
Fees
0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends
2026-10-04
Resolves by
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.002. down 0.004 over the period, from 0.005. Range 0.002 to 0.005. 37 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.002495495
0.005350845
0.0061,0071,852
0.0101001,952
0.01161,958
0.01271,965
0.0202362,201
0.030202,221
0.040522,273
0.050352,308
0.060202,328
0.070902,418

Spread0.001Mid0.002

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.001103103

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.999103103

Spread0.001Mid0.998

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.998495495
0.995350845
0.9941,0071,852
0.9901001,952
0.98961,958
0.98871,965
0.9802362,201
0.970202,221
0.960522,273
0.950352,308
0.940202,328
0.930902,418

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
TRACKER2Yes896.66
0X496f76bd5cf4c2819c710ae90ed1c84b2dc6fa5dYes79.99
0x496f76BD5Cf4c2819C710aE90Ed1C84B2dc6FA5D-1773782287927Yes45
SpringlyFawlYes14.44
ISddIYes12.06
TENETENETYes10
HaradwaithYes9
triklozoidYes5
0xa5ef…2966No539.87
MaxthkgNo445
ArturNeryNo40
bea13No30
sleepurheadNo6.12
anyyeongNo4.75
sealuverNo3.37
nongshimRGNo1.56
weather-highest-strangleNo1

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
14:26:38BUYNo0.9995$4.75
13:39:54BUYNo0.9992$1.56
13:32:45BUYNo0.9995$5.16
13:32:45BUYNo0.9995$5.00
12:45:38BUYNo0.9993$3.37
12:27:14BUYNo0.9996$6.11
12:03:38BUYNo0.99940$39.96
11:11:08BUYNo0.9996$5.64
11:11:08BUYNo0.9992$2.34
11:11:06BUYNo0.9996$6.00
11:11:06BUYNo0.99942$41.78
11:11:06BUYNo0.9992$1.68
11:11:06BUYNo0.99910$9.99
11:11:06BUYNo0.99916$16.03
11:11:06BUYNo0.99930$29.97
11:11:06BUYNo0.9995$5.03
11:11:06BUYNo0.99927$26.89
11:11:06BUYNo0.99950$49.95
11:11:06BUYNo0.9995$5.17
10:41:54BUYNo0.9996$6.00
10:37:48SELLYes0.0011$0.00
10:30:09BUYNo0.99910$9.99
10:30:09BUYNo0.99950$49.85
10:30:09BUYNo0.99925$25.08
10:21:03SELLYes0.0011$0.00