sleepurhead
0x9ea9b1a8207cb1c0baeec07456545944df9aed28
- Realised P&L
- $-24.8k
- Volume
- $51.7k
- Markets traded
- 8
- Open portfolio
- $24.00
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-48.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded8
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration25.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Milan be 30°C or higher on October 4? · No | 0.999 | 0.999 | $6.11 | −$0.00 |
| Will the highest temperature in Milan be 22°C on October 4? · No | 0.999 | 0.985 | $5.46 | −$0.08 |
| Will the highest temperature in Munich be 17°C or below on October 4? · No | 0.999 | 0.998 | $3.34 | −$0.01 |
| Will the highest temperature in Munich be 18°C on October 4? · No | 0.999 | 0.998 | $2.70 | −$0.00 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on October 4? · No | 0.992 | 0.991 | $2.50 | −$0.00 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on October 4? · No | 0.999 | 0.999 | $2.27 | −$0.00 |
| Will the highest temperature in Milan be 29°C on October 4? · No | 0.999 | 0.999 | $1.63 | −$0.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$-24.8kat 0.980Navy vs. Air Force: Both Teams to Score Points - Q2
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-03 12:27 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 18°C on October 4? | BUY | 0.999 | $2.70 |
| 10-03 12:27 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 17°C or below on October 4? | BUY | 0.999 | $3.35 |
| 10-03 12:27 | Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on October 4? | BUY | 0.992 | $2.50 |
| 10-03 12:27 | Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on October 4? | BUY | 0.999 | $2.27 |
| 10-03 12:27 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 29°C on October 4? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.63 |
| 10-03 12:27 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 30°C or higher on October 4? | BUY | 0.999 | $6.11 |
| 10-03 12:27 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 22°C on October 4? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.54 |
| 10-03 12:23 | Navy vs. Air Force: Both Teams to Score Points - Q2 | SELL | 0.02 | $517.08 |
| 10-03 12:23 | Navy vs. Air Force: Both Teams to Score Points - Q2 | BUY | 0.98 | $25.3k |