Maxthkg
0xd06635cea14c598bd320671ecfd09bb871952981
- Realised P&L
- $255.06
- Volume
- $187.9k
- Markets traded
- 1,143
- Open portfolio
- $538.29
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,143
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration12.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration82.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Milan be 30°C or higher on October 4? · No | 0.999 | 0.999 | $444.33 | −$0.22 |
| Will the highest temperature in Milan be 20°C or below on October 3? · No | 0.999 | 1.000 | $93.95 | +$0.05 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$27.50at 0.083Will the highest temperature in London be between 70–71°F on May 28?
- +$23.00at 0.500Will the highest temperature in London be 48°F or below on December 1?
- +$18.33at 0.083Will the highest temperature in London be between 85-86°F on June 28?
- +$18.33at 0.083Will the highest temperature in London be between 80-81°F on July 4?
- +$18.33at 0.083Will the highest temperature in London be between 71-72°F on July 15?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-03 07:53 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 30°C or higher on October 4? | BUY | 0.999 | $444.56 |
| 10-02 16:52 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 20°C or below on October 3? | BUY | 0.999 | $93.91 |
| 10-01 19:06 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 19°C on October 2? | BUY | 0.999 | $444.56 |
| 10-01 09:03 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 27°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.999 | $93.88 |
| 09-29 16:31 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 18°C or below on September 30? | BUY | 0.999 | $538.46 |
| 09-28 05:06 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 28°C on September 28? | BUY | 0.998 | $99.84 |
| 09-25 17:29 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 28°C or higher on September 26? | BUY | 0.999 | $204.79 |
| 09-25 17:28 | Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on September 26? | BUY | 0.998 | $132.32 |
| 09-25 17:28 | Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on September 26? | BUY | 0.997 | $199.40 |
| 09-23 17:13 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 30°C on September 24? | BUY | 0.999 | $308.69 |
| 09-23 06:26 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 27°C on September 23? | BUY | 0.999 | $227.02 |
| 09-22 04:30 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 28°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.999 | $309.69 |
| 09-22 04:30 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 28°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.998 | $140.30 |
| 09-22 04:30 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 28°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.997 | $7.47 |
| 09-22 04:29 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 22°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.999 | $78.10 |