PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Will the highest temperature in Milan be 14°C on November 3?

Tick
0.01
Min order
5
Fees
0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends
2026-11-03
Resolves by
https://aviationweather.gov/api/data/metar?ids=LIMC&format=raw&date=2026-11-04T02:00:00Z&hours=30
Rewards
20 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.46. up 0.18 over the period, from 0.28. Range 0.24 to 0.47. 20 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.475353
0.482477
0.49668744
0.50131875
0.5150925
0.5217942
0.538950
0.547956
0.5540996
0.5671,003
0.5871,010
0.6051,015

Spread0.02Mid0.46

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.45460460
0.4425485
0.4360,56161,046
0.42861,053
0.41861,061
0.345961,120
0.333061,150
0.315061,200
0.245161,251
0.232861,279
0.216161,339
0.209461,433

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.55460460
0.5625485
0.5760,56161,046
0.58861,053
0.59861,061
0.665961,120
0.673061,150
0.695061,200
0.765161,251
0.772861,279
0.796161,339
0.809461,433

Spread0.02Mid0.54

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.535353
0.522477
0.51668744
0.50131875
0.4950925
0.4817942
0.478950
0.467956
0.4540996
0.4471,003
0.4271,010
0.4051,015

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
hello.67Yes348.93
TakeYourTemperatureYes97.15
cvcvbvbvbMMYes78.91
LoneForestWolfYes66.98
arsenal85Yes60.4
manuel11431180Yes60
newbie147Yes54
e4s6r7.pmYes45
0x0b88…63dfYes31.95
televisionloudYes31.44
ventyclobYes29.44
twobonclayYes25.44
K80PROYes24.99
Alcaraz2026Yes20.78
pppnnYes20
youtube-traderYes17.22
0x969aee813cCC120fBF7b0817C2726146aa187850-1775400994778Yes17.08
dim-sandwichYes16.67
0xeb1b…87c0Yes16
hfvYes15.26

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
00:31:39BUYNo0.5599997762$1.00
00:28:04BUYNo0.545$2.71
00:28:04BUYNo0.545$2.72
00:28:04BUYNo0.539999972415$8.22
00:28:04BUYNo0.5420$10.80
00:28:04BUYNo0.5478620$10.96
00:28:04BUYNo0.5550$27.23
23:16:45BUYNo0.53999999265$2.93
21:29:36BUYNo0.53999996822$1.02
21:29:34BUYNo0.535$2.65
21:28:57BUYNo0.53999996822$1.02
21:28:55BUYNo0.535$2.65
21:28:40BUYNo0.53999996822$1.02
21:28:39BUYNo0.535$2.65
21:15:36BUYYes0.4960$29.40
19:22:39BUYYes0.45999999686$2.91
16:07:34BUYNo0.572$1.14
14:48:54BUYNo0.596$3.54
14:48:54BUYNo0.58999994585$3.05
14:48:54BUYNo0.585$2.90
14:35:55BUYYes0.44999997359$4.25
14:35:54BUYYes0.44999984252$1.00
14:35:51BUYYes0.426$2.70
14:35:51BUYYes0.4199998433$1.07
14:35:51BUYYes0.41999989082$1.00