Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 26 to September 28, 2026?

Tick: 0.01
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends: 2026-09-28
Resolves by: https://x.com/elonmusk
Rewards: 50 min size · 5.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.19. down 0.05 over the period, from 0.24. Range 0.18 to 0.24. 22 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.20	36	36
0.21	188	223
0.22	679	902
0.23	1,213	2,115
0.24	995	3,110
0.25	1,053	4,162
0.26	421	4,583
0.27	5	4,588
0.28	140	4,728
0.32	60	4,788
0.33	25	4,813
0.45	5	4,818

Spread0.02Mid0.19

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.18	300	300
0.17	284	584
0.16	634	1,218
0.15	277	1,495
0.14	808	2,303
0.13	1,100	3,403
0.12	333	3,736
0.11	300	4,036
0.10	1,667	5,702
0.07	243	5,945
0.06	1,298	7,243
0.05	339	7,582

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.82	300	300
0.83	284	584
0.84	634	1,218
0.85	277	1,495
0.86	808	2,303
0.87	1,100	3,403
0.88	333	3,736
0.89	300	4,036
0.90	1,667	5,702
0.93	243	5,945
0.94	1,298	7,243
0.95	339	7,582

Spread0.02Mid0.81

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.80	36	36
0.79	188	223
0.78	679	902
0.77	1,213	2,115
0.76	995	3,110
0.75	1,053	4,162
0.74	421	4,583
0.73	5	4,588
0.72	140	4,728
0.68	60	4,788
0.67	25	4,813
0.55	5	4,818

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
NBALOL	Yes	1,442.98
Mr.Frog🐸	Yes	700
Malganis	Yes	100
smalltimezzz	Yes	73.25
oboltusovao	Yes	68.35
Demet3r	Yes	50
whereismymoney	Yes	20
WanderingPanda	Yes	14
makariso	Yes	10
Lyn-monroe	Yes	6.65
0xPoni-Elon	Yes	5
Etherapp	Yes	4.55
cnmgz	Yes	1.05
0xa5ef…2966	No	1,288.53
clggzz	No	1,083.38
AestusValueLab	No	100
yfhjjh	No	12.82
AlyincePeng	No	10
manuelarias	No	1.05

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
12:45:14	BUY	Yes	0.2	7	$1.33
09:22:54	SELL	Yes	0.17	28	$4.73
08:22:27	BUY	No	0.8	100	$80.00
06:58:44	BUY	Yes	0.23	500	$115.00
04:56:15	SELL	Yes	0.2	50	$10.00
04:56:11	BUY	No	0.79	250	$197.50
03:53:27	BUY	Yes	0.219999978	5	$1.00
03:52:05	BUY	Yes	0.22	7	$1.54
03:51:39	BUY	No	0.78	233	$182.04
03:32:38	BUY	No	0.7799999109	2	$1.40
03:02:05	BUY	No	0.78	6	$4.68
03:01:50	BUY	Yes	0.23	10	$2.30
02:58:24	BUY	No	0.7799999905	13	$9.85
02:58:23	BUY	No	0.78	24	$18.42
02:58:23	BUY	No	0.78	62	$48.16
02:30:47	BUY	No	0.78	100	$78.00
01:05:14	BUY	No	0.78	100	$78.00
00:52:44	BUY	No	0.7799999891	13	$10.00
22:24:35	BUY	No	0.78	10	$7.80
22:08:48	SELL	No	0.77	44	$33.88
22:06:35	SELL	No	0.77	100	$77.00
22:06:32	SELL	No	0.77	40	$30.80
22:06:30	SELL	No	0.77	20	$15.40
22:06:29	SELL	No	0.77	40	$30.80
22:06:27	BUY	Yes	0.229999997	20	$4.59