PolyBot

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Traders

makariso

0x2b18eb0e5cc511a965235880ae37740276b05ac2

Realised P&L
$173.33
Volume
$66.7k
Markets traded
384
Open portfolio
$33.76

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded384
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration19.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration30.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 19 to September 21, 2026? · Yes0.5100.675$10.13+$2.48
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 19 to September 21, 2026? · No0.8400.830$8.30$0.10
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 21 to September 23, 2026? · Yes0.5600.555$5.55$0.05
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? · Yes0.2030.370$3.70+$1.67
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? · Yes0.1960.355$3.55+$1.59
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? · Yes0.1800.145$1.45$0.35
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 21 to September 23, 2026? · Yes0.1500.155$1.08+$0.04
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 27°C on August 13? · Yes0.4400.000$0.00$2.20
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on August 31? · Yes0.1900.000$0.00$1.14
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 33°C on August 7? · Yes0.0540.000$0.00$3.31
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on August 31? · No0.9400.000$0.00$8.46
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C on August 14? · No0.5600.000$0.00$2.80
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 32°C on August 6? · Yes0.0180.000$0.00$1.08
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 24°C on August 8? · No0.0600.000$0.00$0.90
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 29°C on August 11? · Yes0.0500.000$0.00$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-20 09:11Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 19 to September 21, 2026?SELL0.9$9.00
09-20 09:10Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 19 to September 21, 2026?SELL0.2$3.38
09-20 06:11Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 19 to September 21, 2026?BUY0.35$1.71
09-20 05:21Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 19 to September 21, 2026?SELL0.24$1.20
09-20 03:44Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?BUY0.18$1.80
09-20 03:43Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?SELL0.28$1.40
09-20 03:42Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?SELL0.08$0.80
09-20 03:33Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 19 to September 21, 2026?BUY0.3$2.10
09-20 03:22Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 21 to September 23, 2026?BUY0.15$1.05
09-20 03:22Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 21 to September 23, 2026?BUY0.56$5.60
09-20 03:21Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 19 to September 21, 2026?BUY0.88$8.80
09-19 15:42Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 17 to September 19, 2026?BUY0.031$1.08
09-19 15:23Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 17 to September 19, 2026?BUY0.15$1.50
09-19 15:22Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 17 to September 19, 2026?BUY0.15$1.50
09-19 15:10Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 17 to September 19, 2026?SELL0.298$1.49