Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?

Tick: 0.01
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends: 2026-10-16
Resolves by: https://x.com/elonmusk
Rewards: 50 min size · 5.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.10. down 0.14 over the period, from 0.24. Range 0.10 to 0.24. 65 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.11	1,364	1,364
0.12	580	1,944
0.13	1,042	2,986
0.14	310	3,296
0.15	233	3,529
0.16	226	3,755
0.18	388	4,144
0.19	510	4,654
0.20	978	5,632
0.21	187	5,819
0.22	273	6,092
0.23	764	6,856

Spread0.01Mid0.11

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.10	29	29
0.09	636	665
0.08	2,178	2,842
0.07	9,690	12,533
0.06	469	13,002
0.05	100	13,102
0.04	351	13,453
0.03	567	14,019
0.02	747	14,766
0.01	860	15,626

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.90	29	29
0.91	636	665
0.92	2,178	2,842
0.93	9,690	12,533
0.94	469	13,002
0.95	100	13,102
0.96	351	13,453
0.97	567	14,019
0.98	747	14,766
0.99	860	15,626

Spread0.01Mid0.90

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.89	1,364	1,364
0.88	580	1,944
0.87	1,042	2,986
0.86	310	3,296
0.85	233	3,529
0.84	226	3,755
0.82	388	4,144
0.81	510	4,654
0.80	978	5,632
0.79	187	5,819
0.78	273	6,092
0.77	764	6,856

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
smalltimezzz	Yes	9,064.66
fghsrthrhrshrsth	Yes	5,000
sebyastiens	Yes	5,000
TweetPulse.Live	Yes	3,949.94
cool.guide	Yes	2,000
hirichzhou	Yes	1,501.5
Melao	Yes	520
GreyWall	Yes	390
TaigerTeam	Yes	300
Bitgod	Yes	239.66
poposd	Yes	218.72
Prrrl	Yes	200
belsand2	Yes	195
neverhackme	Yes	176.67
coranix	Yes	149.99
ghorrock	Yes	144.58
Majas	Yes	100.01
fcxs999	Yes	100
oboltusovao	Yes	75
alienhand	Yes	69.57

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
16:28:56	BUY	Yes	0.1099999997	33	$3.62
16:19:44	BUY	Yes	0.11	21	$2.30
15:30:12	BUY	No	0.8995	100	$89.95
15:03:05	SELL	Yes	0.12	500	$60.00
15:03:05	BUY	No	0.8920244898	49	$43.71
15:03:05	BUY	No	0.89	50	$44.50
15:03:05	BUY	No	0.8868592965	16	$14.12
14:27:12	BUY	No	0.8799999971	27	$24.03
14:13:18	SELL	Yes	0.12	213	$25.51
13:51:00	BUY	Yes	0.13	50	$6.44
13:50:57	BUY	Yes	0.13	390	$50.70
13:37:17	SELL	Yes	0.12	11	$1.32
08:43:53	BUY	Yes	0.12	52	$6.19
08:34:37	BUY	Yes	0.1199999904	8	$1.00
08:09:40	BUY	Yes	0.119999999	42	$5.00
07:48:25	BUY	Yes	0.12	11	$1.32
07:43:34	SELL	Yes	0.1725160941	166	$28.67
06:26:49	BUY	Yes	0.2	5	$1.00
06:01:43	BUY	No	0.81	5	$4.12
05:56:56	SELL	Yes	0.19	199	$37.79
05:56:55	BUY	No	0.81	50	$40.10
05:56:52	BUY	No	0.8	50	$40.00
05:56:52	SELL	Yes	0.2088396904	922	$192.62
05:56:52	BUY	No	0.8	50	$40.00
05:56:52	BUY	No	0.8	246	$196.80