coranix
0x30af4dd82a17783fd9542d76445a10546caf2c34
- Realised P&L
- $-351.35
- Volume
- $38.4k
- Markets traded
- 110
- Open portfolio
- $21.84
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded110
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration45.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)16.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration65.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026? · Yes | 0.200 | 0.095 | $14.25 | −$15.75 |
| Will Steven Snell win the 2026 Williamson County Judge election? · Yes | 0.640 | 0.215 | $4.30 | −$8.50 |
| Will another artist be #1 in global fine art auction turnover for 2026? · Yes | 0.450 | 0.101 | $3.22 | −$11.18 |
| Will Kareem Allam win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election? · Yes | 0.500 | 0.002 | $0.08 | −$25.92 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$9.94at 0.660Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?
- +$8.70at 0.377Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
- +$3.58at 0.479Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
- +$3.06at 0.440Will Strait of Hormuz traffic not return to normal in 2026?
- +$2.12at 0.320US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-30 01:30 | Will New York Yankees win the 2026 American League Championship Series? | SELL | 0.29 | $0.39 |
| 09-09 00:35 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.45 | $13.83 |
| 08-29 17:47 | Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.487 | $9.74 |
| 08-22 18:50 | Will Tom Cruise win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards? | SELL | 0.7 | $24.63 |
| 08-18 10:01 | Will Strait of Hormuz traffic not return to normal in 2026? | SELL | 0.66 | $0.66 |
| 08-12 13:20 | Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.441 | $22.49 |
| 08-12 13:20 | Will Gukesh Dommaraju win the 2026 World Chess Championship? | SELL | 0.3 | $25.50 |
| 08-06 23:51 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 33°C on August 7? | SELL | 0.1943497173 | $4.47 |
| 08-05 12:01 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on August 6? | SELL | 0.3 | $4.07 |
| 08-05 09:28 | Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 15°C on August 6? | SELL | 0.3 | $1.50 |
| 08-03 22:00 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.4078928698 | $45.99 |
| 08-03 11:28 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 9°C on August 5? | SELL | 0.44 | $28.16 |
| 08-02 04:32 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.3305113861 | $66.76 |
| 07-30 15:05 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 25°C on July 31? | SELL | 0.44 | $2.00 |
| 07-27 00:01 | Will Boeing say "Airbus" during earnings call? | SELL | 0.19 | $6.08 |