coranix
0x30af4dd82a17783fd9542d76445a10546caf2c34
- Realised P&L
- $-41.53
- Volume
- $2.0k
- Markets traded
- 25
- Open portfolio
- $117.38
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded25
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration35.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample19 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)68.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration41.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · No | 0.532 | 0.479 | $48.38 | −$5.35 |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31? · Yes | 0.270 | 0.255 | $26.01 | −$1.53 |
| Will Gukesh Dommaraju win the 2026 World Chess Championship? · Yes | 0.330 | 0.305 | $25.93 | −$2.13 |
| Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on August 6? · No | 0.560 | 0.420 | $9.24 | −$3.08 |
| Will Kareem Allam win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election? · Yes | 0.500 | 0.145 | $7.54 | −$18.46 |
| Will New York Yankees win the 2026 American League Championship Series? · Yes | 0.260 | 0.215 | $0.29 | −$0.06 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.12at 0.320US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?
- +$0.85at 0.430Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 38°C on July 17?
- +$0.64at 0.430Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 9°C on August 5?
- +$0.57at 0.320Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 World Series?
- +$0.39at 0.460Will Tukaka George Tamarua Ama win the Ngatangiia constituency in the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 22:00 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.4078928698 | $45.99 |
| 08-03 11:28 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 9°C on August 5? | SELL | 0.44 | $28.16 |
| 08-02 04:32 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.3305113861 | $66.76 |
| 07-30 15:05 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 25°C on July 31? | SELL | 0.44 | $2.00 |
| 07-27 00:01 | Will Boeing say "Airbus" during earnings call? | SELL | 0.19 | $6.08 |
| 07-20 20:21 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on July 21? | SELL | 0.16 | $3.36 |
| 07-20 09:29 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on July 21? | SELL | 0.32 | $0.32 |
| 07-18 22:00 | Will the announcers say "Penalty Shootout" during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match? | SELL | 0.39 | $7.80 |
| 07-17 15:11 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 31°C on July 18? | SELL | 0.1339130435 | $3.08 |
| 07-17 07:33 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 24°C on July 17? | SELL | 0.56 | $0.08 |
| 07-16 14:15 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on July 17? | SELL | 0.35 | $0.09 |
| 07-16 11:10 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 29°C on July 17? | SELL | 0.48 | $1.74 |