poposd
0xf5124e19272b93edfc237d70512058023ebb0985
- Realised P&L
- $-285.35
- Volume
- $107.7k
- Markets traded
- 349
- Open portfolio
- $300.45
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded349
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration22.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration66.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$16.00at 0.140Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?
- +$15.10at 0.170Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?
- +$8.24at 0.220Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?
- +$5.77at 0.110Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?
- +$5.46at 0.003Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 11:30 | Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from August 4 to August 11, 2026? | SELL | 0.05 | $0.27 |
| 07-25 15:43 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 25 to July 27, 2026? | SELL | 0.4 | $0.78 |
| 07-25 15:37 | Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 25 to July 27, 2026? | SELL | 0.19 | $0.23 |
| 07-21 17:06 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 20 to July 22, 2026? | SELL | 0.04 | $1.12 |
| 07-21 06:22 | Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 20 to July 22, 2026? | SELL | 0.3 | $0.03 |
| 07-20 04:44 | Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from July 14 to July 21, 2026? | SELL | 0.12 | $0.13 |
| 07-16 13:26 | Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026? | SELL | 0.15 | $0.47 |
| 07-13 08:25 | Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time? | SELL | 0.34 | $0.68 |
| 07-12 04:59 | Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 11 to July 13, 2026? | SELL | 0.32 | $1.04 |
| 07-07 19:13 | Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time? | BUY | 0.31 | $6.20 |
| 07-05 17:31 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026? | SELL | 0.021 | $1.93 |
| 07-01 16:25 | Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 8, 2026? | SELL | 0.17 | $8.52 |
| 06-30 11:32 | Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.09 | $11.70 |
| 06-25 20:19 | Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 25 to June 27, 2026? | SELL | 0.06 | $0.00 |
| 06-22 05:50 | Will NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from June 23 to June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.22 | $4.42 |