PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

poposd

0xf5124e19272b93edfc237d70512058023ebb0985

Realised P&L
$-285.35
Volume
$107.7k
Markets traded
349
Open portfolio
$300.45

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded349
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration22.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration66.8% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from August 4 to August 11, 2026? · Yes0.1200.072$200.59$133.24
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? · No0.5000.435$49.02$7.32
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? · Yes0.2500.225$22.73$2.52
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by December 31? · Yes0.4320.365$10.27$1.88
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by August 31? · No0.9200.925$9.44+$0.05
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by September 30? · Yes0.2600.225$4.72$0.73
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to between 20 and 40 years in prison? · Yes0.1240.072$3.68$2.65
Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 26, 2026? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00$0.03
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 2 to July 4, 2026? · Yes0.0700.000$0.00$13.91
Will White House post 140-159 posts from July 14 to July 21, 2026? · Yes0.0660.000$0.00$6.58
Will Yunho Choi Eat 25 or More Hotdogs at Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Contest 2026? · O 25+0.0110.000$0.00$0.42
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026? · Yes0.0350.000$0.00$3.62
Will Tanner Gray Eat 23 or More Hotdogs at Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Contest 2026? · O 23+0.0050.000$0.00$0.32
Will Gideon Oji Eat 32 or More Hotdogs at Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Contest 2026? · O 32+0.0050.000$0.00$0.22
Will Patrick Bertoletti Eat 52 or more Hotdogs at Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Contest 2026? · O 52+0.0080.000$0.00$0.50

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 11:30Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from August 4 to August 11, 2026?SELL0.05$0.27
07-25 15:43Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 25 to July 27, 2026?SELL0.4$0.78
07-25 15:37Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 25 to July 27, 2026?SELL0.19$0.23
07-21 17:06Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 20 to July 22, 2026?SELL0.04$1.12
07-21 06:22Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 20 to July 22, 2026?SELL0.3$0.03
07-20 04:44Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from July 14 to July 21, 2026?SELL0.12$0.13
07-16 13:26Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?SELL0.15$0.47
07-13 08:25Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time?SELL0.34$0.68
07-12 04:59Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 11 to July 13, 2026?SELL0.32$1.04
07-07 19:13Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time?BUY0.31$6.20
07-05 17:31Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?SELL0.021$1.93
07-01 16:25Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 8, 2026?SELL0.17$8.52
06-30 11:32Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?BUY0.09$11.70
06-25 20:19Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 25 to June 27, 2026?SELL0.06$0.00
06-22 05:50Will NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from June 23 to June 30, 2026?BUY0.22$4.42