PolyBot

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Traders

belsand2

0x8845c34e8ba60527de59575bdc4b5ab70922360e

Realised P&L
$-12.5k
Volume
$783.5k
Markets traded
8,082
Open portfolio
$212.84

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded8,082
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration27.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)42.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration14.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 23°C on November 3? · No0.7050.620$31.00−$4.25
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 11°C on November 3? · Yes0.6500.640$16.00−$0.25
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 12°C on November 3? · No0.6900.625$15.63−$1.63
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 3°C on November 3? · No0.6200.605$15.13−$0.38
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 8°C on November 3? · Yes0.2600.190$14.25−$5.25
Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on November 3? · No0.6000.500$12.50−$2.50
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 28°C on November 3? · Yes0.2900.250$12.50−$2.00
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on November 3? · No0.6600.495$12.38−$4.13
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 18°C on November 3? · No0.5500.460$11.50−$2.25
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on November 3? · Yes0.4720.575$11.45+$2.06
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026? · No0.8600.865$10.74+$0.06
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on November 3? · No0.5300.410$10.25−$3.00
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 15°C on November 3? · Yes0.4700.380$9.50−$2.25
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 17°C on November 3? · Yes0.2800.280$6.00+$0.00
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026? · No0.8540.953$4.76+$0.49

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-02 14:35Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on November 3?SELL0.38$0.80
11-02 14:30Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 29°C on November 3?SELL0.05$1.25
11-02 14:01Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 16°C on November 3?SELL0.4$10.00
11-02 13:06Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 18°C on November 3?SELL0.4$0.00
11-02 12:32Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on November 3?SELL0.1129644269$4.00
11-02 12:26Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 18°C on November 3?SELL0.64$1.06
11-02 11:04Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 27°C on November 2?SELL0.4860913706$9.58
11-02 07:06Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 20°C on November 2?SELL0.23$1.14
11-02 02:55Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on November 2?SELL0.06408$2.24
11-02 02:05Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 82-83°F on November 2?SELL0.38$0.38
11-02 02:02Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 82-83°F on November 2?SELL0.17$4.50
11-02 02:00Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 80-81°F on November 2?SELL0.14$3.50
11-02 02:00Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 82-83°F on November 2?SELL0.1$2.50
11-02 01:29Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C on November 2?SELL0.142$3.55
11-02 01:14Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on November 2?SELL0.11$0.95