belsand2
0x8845c34e8ba60527de59575bdc4b5ab70922360e
- Realised P&L
- $-12.5k
- Volume
- $783.5k
- Markets traded
- 8,082
- Open portfolio
- $212.84
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded8,082
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration27.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)42.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration14.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$327.48at 0.253Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?
- +$317.38at 0.248Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?
- +$291.56at 0.163Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?
- +$214.16at 0.160Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?
- +$203.73at 0.317Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-02 14:35 | Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on November 3? | SELL | 0.38 | $0.80 |
| 11-02 14:30 | Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 29°C on November 3? | SELL | 0.05 | $1.25 |
| 11-02 14:01 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 16°C on November 3? | SELL | 0.4 | $10.00 |
| 11-02 13:06 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 18°C on November 3? | SELL | 0.4 | $0.00 |
| 11-02 12:32 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on November 3? | SELL | 0.1129644269 | $4.00 |
| 11-02 12:26 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 18°C on November 3? | SELL | 0.64 | $1.06 |
| 11-02 11:04 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 27°C on November 2? | SELL | 0.4860913706 | $9.58 |
| 11-02 07:06 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 20°C on November 2? | SELL | 0.23 | $1.14 |
| 11-02 02:55 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on November 2? | SELL | 0.06408 | $2.24 |
| 11-02 02:05 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 82-83°F on November 2? | SELL | 0.38 | $0.38 |
| 11-02 02:02 | Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 82-83°F on November 2? | SELL | 0.17 | $4.50 |
| 11-02 02:00 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 80-81°F on November 2? | SELL | 0.14 | $3.50 |
| 11-02 02:00 | Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 82-83°F on November 2? | SELL | 0.1 | $2.50 |
| 11-02 01:29 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C on November 2? | SELL | 0.142 | $3.55 |
| 11-02 01:14 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on November 2? | SELL | 0.11 | $0.95 |