Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?

Tick: 0.001
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends: 2026-10-13
Resolves by: https://x.com/elonmusk
Rewards: 50 min size · 5.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.053. down 0.017 over the period, from 0.070. Range 0.001 to 0.082. 134 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.054	616	616
0.055	6	622
0.056	100	722
0.058	22	743
0.060	300	1,043
0.064	41	1,084
0.065	10	1,094
0.067	40	1,134
0.068	109	1,243
0.069	200	1,443
0.070	200	1,643
0.071	100	1,743

Spread0.002Mid0.053

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.052	39	39
0.051	209	248
0.050	321	569
0.049	200	769
0.047	300	1,069
0.046	300	1,369
0.045	15,275	16,644
0.041	407	17,051
0.040	40,000	57,051
0.038	6	57,056
0.032	30	57,086
0.031	20	57,106

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.948	39	39
0.949	209	248
0.950	321	569
0.951	200	769
0.953	300	1,069
0.954	300	1,369
0.955	15,275	16,644
0.959	407	17,051
0.960	40,000	57,051
0.962	6	57,056
0.968	30	57,086
0.969	20	57,106

Spread0.002Mid0.947

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.946	616	616
0.945	6	622
0.944	100	722
0.942	22	743
0.940	300	1,043
0.936	41	1,084
0.935	10	1,094
0.933	40	1,134
0.932	109	1,243
0.931	200	1,443
0.930	200	1,643
0.929	100	1,743

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
Mac-Gyver	Yes	22,047.76
LordYeah	Yes	17,353.09
Brotherinchrist	Yes	8,067.81
smalltimezzz	Yes	6,157.48
Bitgod	Yes	5,256.53
ChunkyMonky	Yes	5,000
ElonJail	Yes	4,999.98
wakuwaku3	Yes	4,315.46
LinaBell🦊	Yes	4,000
planktonXD	Yes	3,548.66
Poiuztrewq	Yes	3,500
cool.guide	Yes	2,000
ComradeCat	Yes	1,983.01
0x9Bbe387914ccF6399f62e12Fb08FB162a7A691d6-1767210942410	Yes	1,259.26
saragus	Yes	1,192.86
Fablurou	Yes	1,000
Ecnanif	Yes	700
Kaiji123	Yes	669.9
cigarettes	Yes	620.62
sjoerdvdmack	Yes	506.67

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
17:05:54	BUY	Yes	0.054	101	$5.47
17:01:32	BUY	Yes	0.057	94	$5.34
17:01:24	BUY	Yes	0.054	8	$0.41
17:00:03	BUY	Yes	0.058	102	$5.91
16:42:47	BUY	No	0.945	20	$18.90
16:29:57	SELL	No	0.9411187225	168	$158.54
16:26:53	SELL	No	0.947	25	$23.79
16:26:02	BUY	Yes	0.049	10	$0.49
16:25:24	SELL	No	0.951	118	$112.22
16:25:18	SELL	Yes	0.048	30	$1.44
16:24:00	BUY	No	0.951	200	$190.20
16:13:30	SELL	No	0.949	7	$6.34
16:10:18	SELL	No	0.95045	500	$475.23
16:09:20	SELL	No	0.9533333333	150	$143.00
16:08:53	SELL	No	0.955	49	$46.79
16:05:09	BUY	No	0.96	100	$96.00
16:03:30	BUY	Yes	0.04	5	$0.20
15:55:23	SELL	No	0.962	50	$48.10
15:52:42	BUY	No	0.959	12	$11.54
15:52:06	BUY	Yes	0.0408953975	239	$9.77
15:47:12	SELL	Yes	0.0355966286	22,131	$787.79
15:44:47	BUY	Yes	0.0379166667	60	$2.28
15:41:42	BUY	No	0.965	50	$48.25
15:39:54	SELL	Yes	0.0350614583	4,068	$142.62
15:24:00	SELL	Yes	0.037	100	$3.70