saragus
0xf4d55bc4839c7b22fa44d01c60666227210966e1
- Realised P&L
- $-2.2k
- Volume
- $3.93M
- Markets traded
- 15,662
- Open portfolio
- $507.32
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded15,662
- Far too many to mirror. This is automated flow across the whole venue, not a set of considered positions — copying it means rebuilding their infrastructure, at which point you are not copying anyone.
- ClearProfit concentration24.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration37.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.8kat 0.494Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?
- +$1.8kat 0.229Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?
- +$1.7kat 0.513Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?
- +$1.6kat 0.495Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?
- +$1.6kat 0.091Bitcoin above $97,000 on February 14?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-08 15:56 | Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.949 | $18.98 |
| 10-08 14:17 | Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026? | SELL | 0.1105044599 | $1.11 |
| 10-08 13:41 | Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026? | SELL | 0.0250234146 | $6.41 |
| 10-08 13:41 | Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026? | SELL | 0.083 | $12.45 |
| 10-08 13:37 | Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026? | SELL | 0.056 | $15.40 |
| 10-08 13:24 | Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026? | SELL | 0.06 | $8.84 |
| 10-08 13:00 | Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026? | SELL | 0.0740665837 | $1.19 |
| 10-08 05:20 | Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026? | BUY | 0.005 | $1.57 |
| 10-08 05:13 | Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026? | BUY | 0.079 | $18.11 |
| 10-08 05:05 | Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026? | BUY | 0.068 | $0.35 |
| 10-08 05:03 | Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? | SELL | 0.1039377603 | $56.14 |
| 10-08 05:03 | Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? | SELL | 0.25 | $1.97 |
| 10-08 04:51 | Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026? | BUY | 0.034 | $4.11 |
| 10-08 04:23 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026? | SELL | 0.031 | $0.19 |
| 10-08 04:22 | Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026? | BUY | 0.0221603381 | $14.13 |