PolyBot

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Traders

saragus

0xf4d55bc4839c7b22fa44d01c60666227210966e1

Realised P&L
$-2.2k
Volume
$3.93M
Markets traded
15,662
Open portfolio
$507.32

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded15,662
Far too many to mirror. This is automated flow across the whole venue, not a set of considered positions — copying it means rebuilding their infrastructure, at which point you are not copying anyone.
ClearProfit concentration24.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration37.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? · No0.9210.962$192.39+$8.20
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026? · No0.9320.928$92.79−$0.40
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026? · Yes0.0240.103$78.13+$59.89
Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026? · Yes0.0040.041$57.31+$51.64
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026? · Yes0.0990.098$28.93−$0.40
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026? · Yes0.0790.114$26.72+$8.26
Netanyahu drops out before election? · No0.9820.976$9.76−$0.07
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.8420.844$8.44+$0.01
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026? · Yes0.1330.008$3.52−$54.88
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026? · Yes0.1090.006$3.31−$52.18
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026? · Yes0.0370.003$1.50−$17.00
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026? · Yes0.0180.006$1.20−$2.40
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? · Yes0.0340.002$1.12−$17.70
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? · Yes0.0140.002$0.96−$8.14
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026? · Yes0.0020.001$0.50−$0.50

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-08 15:56Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?BUY0.949$18.98
10-08 14:17Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?SELL0.1105044599$1.11
10-08 13:41Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?SELL0.0250234146$6.41
10-08 13:41Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?SELL0.083$12.45
10-08 13:37Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?SELL0.056$15.40
10-08 13:24Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?SELL0.06$8.84
10-08 13:00Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?SELL0.0740665837$1.19
10-08 05:20Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?BUY0.005$1.57
10-08 05:13Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?BUY0.079$18.11
10-08 05:05Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?BUY0.068$0.35
10-08 05:03Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?SELL0.1039377603$56.14
10-08 05:03Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?SELL0.25$1.97
10-08 04:51Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?BUY0.034$4.11
10-08 04:23Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?SELL0.031$0.19
10-08 04:22Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?BUY0.0221603381$14.13