MelonCusk
0x8f660b4dc3fe1526b49d289946f13009e2c7b986
- Realised P&L
- $-26.3k
- Volume
- $6.60M
- Markets traded
- 1,323
- Open portfolio
- $314.01
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,323
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration17.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)42.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration44.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.9kat 0.248Will Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland?
- +$5.0kat 0.344Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?
- +$4.8kat 0.087Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026?
- +$4.8kat 0.153Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?
- +$4.3kat 0.181Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-19 11:32 | Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? | BUY | 0.49 | $147.00 |
| 09-19 11:07 | Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026? | BUY | 0.001 | $4.73 |
| 09-19 11:07 | Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026? | BUY | 0.001 | $4.73 |
| 09-19 11:07 | Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026? | BUY | 0.001 | $4.49 |
| 09-18 18:13 | Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.0175065789 | $10.64 |
| 09-18 18:13 | Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.0166015 | $33.20 |
| 09-18 14:24 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.017 | $85.00 |
| 09-18 14:18 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.01 | $100.00 |
| 09-18 14:03 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.2 | $18.19 |
| 09-18 14:03 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.2 | $20.00 |
| 09-18 13:49 | Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.001 | $4.60 |
| 09-17 12:39 | Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before September 30, 2026 | BUY | 0.05 | $129.45 |
| 09-17 10:57 | Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.001 | $3.20 |
| 09-13 19:07 | Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.001 | $4.90 |
| 09-13 19:06 | Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.001 | $5.00 |