PolyBot

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Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026?

Tick
0.001
Min order
5
Fees
0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends
2026-10-17
Resolves by
https://x.com/elonmusk

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.003. down 0.013 over the period, from 0.016. Range 0.001 to 0.016. 69 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.0032525
0.004305330
0.005300630
0.0095635
0.01028664
0.0115669
0.012156825
0.0135830
0.0275835
0.02817851
0.03061912
0.03920932

Spread0.001Mid0.003

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.0025,5655,565
0.00141,00846,574

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.9985,5655,565
0.99941,00846,574

Spread0.001Mid0.998

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.9972525
0.996305330
0.995300630
0.9915635
0.99028664
0.9895669
0.988156825
0.9875830
0.9735835
0.97217851
0.97061912
0.96120932

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
SugarinaYes3,000
skold0rYes2,197.88
ihrekunstYes1,500
planktonXDYes657.47
MartinPNZYes499.99
ComradeCatYes162.83
0xC1471e5e80f7c5149f5D29bcf7-0717159345256Yes150
neverhackmeYes134.86
jackli003Yes108.1
EtherappYes100.9
Demet3rYes90
ghorrockYes63.35
LornaPredictsYes59.9
1x6891589732cf8beaaf424b117d5c5c20919f6bb9Yes40
whereismymoneyYes20
cigarettesYes20
jensondYes15
a5533Yes12.32
TENETENETYes10
bjproloYes10

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
13:07:32SELLYes0.00250$0.10
12:44:40SELLYes0.00212$0.02
12:42:49BUYNo0.9989$8.99
12:41:47BUYNo0.99810$9.98
12:41:47BUYNo0.9988$7.99
12:40:08BUYNo0.99810$9.98
12:40:08BUYNo0.99810$9.98
12:39:53BUYNo0.99876$75.85
12:39:53BUYNo0.99810$9.98
12:39:02BUYNo0.9988$7.98
12:39:02BUYNo0.99810$9.98
12:38:52BUYNo0.99823$22.78
12:38:50BUYNo0.99810$9.98
12:38:05BUYNo0.9985$4.99
12:37:43BUYNo0.99823$22.96
12:37:43BUYNo0.99810$9.98
12:34:13BUYNo0.9985$4.99
12:34:13BUYNo0.99810$9.98
10:29:23BUYNo0.99820$19.96
06:24:58BUYNo0.9985$5.00
05:01:35SELLYes0.00232$0.06
04:53:46SELLYes0.002300$0.60
04:49:16SELLNo0.9934$3.97
04:44:17BUYNo0.9985$5.00
03:48:41BUYNo0.99810$9.98