PolyBot

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Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026?

Tick
0.001
Min order
5
Fees
0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends
2026-10-17
Resolves by
https://x.com/elonmusk

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.004. down 0.011 over the period, from 0.016. Range 0.002 to 0.492. 74 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.005301301
0.00614315
0.00814329
0.0095334
0.010114448
0.011100548
0.014200748
0.017200948
0.0202001,148
0.030601,207
0.041231,230
0.050291,259

Spread0.001Mid0.005

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.004373373
0.0033,0003,373
0.00230,02333,396
0.00150,00083,396

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.996373373
0.9973,0003,373
0.99830,02333,396
0.99950,00083,396

Spread0.001Mid0.996

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.995301301
0.99414315
0.99214329
0.9915334
0.990114448
0.989100548
0.986200748
0.983200948
0.9802001,148
0.970601,207
0.959231,230
0.950291,259

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
Kaiji123Yes3,500
SugarinaYes3,000
ihrekunstYes2,000
planktonXDYes1,902.89
JoyLYes832
MartinPNZYes499.99
oboltusovaoYes315
0x2d2d2DECfAB6730091af4541Ad53dB99484621C1-1776435475898Yes200
jackli003Yes190
AlexxieazYes188.83
EtherappYes166.67
ComradeCatYes162.83
neverhackmeYes134.86
0xC1471e5e80f7c5149f5D29bcf7-0717159345256Yes131.89
Demet3rYes90
LornaPredictsYes59.9
.MentheYes50
ghorrockYes42.01
skold0rYes27
1x6891589732cf8beaaf424b117d5c5c20919f6bb9Yes20

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
19:13:56BUYYes0.004162$0.65
19:12:16BUYYes0.00327$0.08
17:38:29SELLYes0.0011$0.00
17:27:05BUYNo0.99810$9.98
17:27:05BUYNo0.99850$49.90
17:27:05BUYNo0.99879$78.84
17:24:47SELLYes0.001100$0.10
17:04:26SELLYes0.00414$0.06
17:00:14SELLYes0.004500$2.00
16:55:05BUYNo0.995180$179.10
16:50:38BUYNo0.99510$9.95
16:50:38BUYNo0.99510$9.95
16:33:47BUYNo0.9955$4.99
16:15:02BUYNo0.99079210$9.91
16:02:41BUYYes0.028$0.16
15:57:47BUYNo0.9956$5.97
14:47:31BUYNo0.995101$100.00
13:07:32SELLYes0.00650$0.30
12:44:40SELLYes0.00612$0.07
12:43:53BUYYes0.0061$0.01
12:42:49BUYNo0.9959$8.96
12:41:47BUYNo0.9958$7.96
12:41:47BUYNo0.99510$9.95
12:40:08BUYNo0.99510$9.95
12:40:08BUYNo0.99510$9.95