JoyL
0x08620929da28424ac0e54bc547f4253cbb689a02
- Realised P&L
- $-302.48
- Volume
- $133.3k
- Markets traded
- 396
- Open portfolio
- $20.26
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded396
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration31.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration68.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$91.37at 0.253Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?
- +$76.58at 0.262Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?
- +$59.29at 0.671Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?
- +$34.33at 0.562Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 4 to July 6, 2026?
- +$31.36at 0.610Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 15 to August 17, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-28 06:05 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026? | SELL | 0.67 | $8.04 |
| 09-28 06:04 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 28 to September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.24 | $4.80 |
| 09-28 06:03 | Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from September 26 to September 28, 2026? | SELL | 0.016 | $0.35 |
| 09-27 01:29 | Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from September 26 to September 28, 2026? | BUY | 0.016 | $1.04 |
| 09-23 20:55 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.51 | $10.20 |
| 09-23 20:55 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? | SELL | 0.71 | $14.20 |
| 09-21 20:41 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.5 | $10.00 |
| 09-20 06:50 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.58 | $5.80 |
| 09-19 07:16 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 17 to September 19, 2026? | BUY | 0.13 | $1.30 |
| 09-15 03:47 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.13 | $6.50 |
| 09-11 01:44 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.37 | $3.70 |
| 09-11 01:44 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.37 | $7.40 |
| 09-10 17:28 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026? | BUY | 0.014 | $1.08 |
| 09-10 17:27 | Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026? | SELL | 0.47 | $9.40 |
| 09-10 01:23 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026? | BUY | 0.32 | $6.40 |