PolyBot

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Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026?

Tick
0.001
Min order
5
Fees
0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends
2026-10-12
Resolves by
https://x.com/elonmusk

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.001. down 0.029 over the period, from 0.030. Range 0.001 to 0.030. 78 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.0018,9768,976
0.003369,012
0.00459,017
0.00589,025
0.00679,032
0.0261969,227
0.030119,238
0.0472509,488
0.05359,493
0.06599,502
0.109409,542
0.110609,602

Spread—Mid—

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal

Spread—Mid—

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.9998,9768,976
0.997369,012
0.99659,017
0.99589,025
0.99479,032
0.9741969,227
0.970119,238
0.9532509,488
0.94759,493
0.93599,502
0.891409,542
0.890609,602

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
smalltimezzzYes10,939.68
ihrekunstYes5,082.44
Kaiji123Yes3,500
RickRockRickYes3,000
SugarinaYes3,000
BiggggggggYes1,352.08
stompychanYes900
exp7incherYes700
balthazarYes698.75
EtherappYes500
MartinPNZYes500
0x90D7483f66281E57d4f54f459dd4748742905cB7-1758547944546Yes350
oboltusovaoYes300
SupremeGamblerYes239.67
123987456Yes194.88
mildwindow27Yes183.38
mustbethewaterYes173.94
qwen4.1.fundYes169.87
VictorLudorumYes166.45
ComradeCatYes151.96

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
00:30:29BUYYes0.0015$0.01
19:49:19BUYYes0.0015$0.01
02:45:24BUYYes0.0011,200$1.20
17:38:54BUYNo0.999258$257.65
17:36:24BUYNo0.999137$137.22
17:36:24BUYNo0.99985$84.92
16:52:31SELLYes0.001500$0.50
16:23:01BUYNo0.99910$9.99
16:22:48BUYNo0.99910$9.99
16:18:00BUYYes0.0045$0.02
16:17:58BUYYes0.00379$0.24
16:04:55SELLYes0.00125$0.02
15:52:22SELLYes0.001300$0.30
15:33:25BUYYes0.002500$1.00
15:20:00SELLYes0.002125$0.25
14:55:30BUYYes0.0075$0.04
14:55:27BUYYes0.003130$0.39
14:38:04BUYNo0.9996$5.99
13:19:36SELLYes0.001500$0.50
09:38:07BUYNo0.99910$9.99
08:44:27SELLYes0.0011,000$1.00
08:08:15SELLYes0.0012$0.00
07:18:58BUYNo0.9995$5.00
04:59:49SELLYes0.001458$0.46
04:25:27BUYNo0.9999$8.99